Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.1% | 2.9% | -19.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.0% | 10.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 97.0% | 3.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.8% | 4.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -17 (74-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler | 30 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| K. Jorgensen | 26 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| J. Pascarelli | 25 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| C. Booth | 23 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Rechsteiner | 23 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| J. Muniz | 21 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| J. McIver | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Mbemba | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Kiudulas | 12 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| N. Djapa | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Slater | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Mekonnen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hobin | 31 | 6-11 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 6 | - |
| K. Sanders | 27 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| E. Greenberg | 26 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| W. Celichowski | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| E. Robinson | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| C. Walker | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| R. Dering | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Patterson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Hinds | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| K. Gilles | 9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter