🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado Bears 71
@
Air Force Falcons 53
2025-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Air Force Falcons Spread Result
Elo 88.3% 11.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 80.3% 19.7% - ✓
Margin 91.3% 8.7% -12.9 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 89.7% 10.3% - ✓
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 72.3% 27.7% - ✓

Actual: Air Force Falcons -18 (53-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Denker * 38 10-17 3-8 0-1 1 8 0 0 2 23 13 +13.6
I. Yamazaki * 36 2-6 2-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 6 6 +19.0
Z. Bloch * 35 3-8 3-5 2-3 3 3 3 0 0 11 12 +19.9
B. Wisne * 34 8-9 1-2 3-4 8 2 1 0 2 20 20 +25.6
R. Nyeri * 12 1-2 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 +5.5
A. Mawien 17 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 4 3 +14.4
V. Delano 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -2.7
E. Shields 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 2 -13.3

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Greenberg * 36 0-5 0-5 0-1 4 2 1 1 1 0 2 -18.2
E. Robinson * 33 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 3 0 0 3 4 4 -15.9
L. Hobin * 32 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 7 0 -17.5
K. Sanders * 32 6-12 2-4 2-3 5 2 1 0 0 16 12 -17.7
W. Celichowski * 17 5-10 0-4 0-1 4 0 0 2 1 10 5 -3.5
C. Walker 23 3-6 0-0 2-3 2 1 0 0 0 8 5 -13.2
A.J. Patterson 19 4-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 8 6 +1.5
K. Gilles 8 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -0.7

* = starter