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Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Also known as: Wake Forest Demon Deacons
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

65.2
PPG
67.0
Opp
-1.8
Margin
44.9%
FG%
33.9%
3P%
67.9%
FT%
34.2
RPG
17.0
APG
17.3
TO
78.5
Pace
66.5
AdjO
61.1
AdjD
#109
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 829 (#287) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1017 (#167) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +113 elo More → 890 (#542) HCA +113 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.3 More → +5.2 (#111) HCA +2.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → +13.8 (#152) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.487 (#174) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +4.0 More → 0.624 (#135) NetEff +4.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +8.2 More → 0.720 (#112) AdjNet +8.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +8.7 More → 0.733 (#110) AdjNet +8.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.1 More → 0.621 (#109) AdjO 66.5 | AdjD 61.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.6 More → 0.436 (#386) AdjO 62.7 | AdjD 65.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.732 (#183) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.666 (#203) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 30 More → 912 (#364) RD 126 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-06 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 78 - 41
2025-11-09 vs Hampton Lady Pirates W 77 - 48
2025-11-13 vs Mercer Bears W 66 - 61
2025-11-20 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 68 - 65
2025-11-26 vs Morgan State Lady Bears W 93 - 35
2025-11-27 @ UCF Knights W 65 - 60
2025-11-28 @ Illinois State Redbirds W 57 - 44
2025-12-03 vs William & Mary Tribe L 64 - 67
2025-12-07 vs Georgetown Hoyas L 56 - 58
2025-12-14 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 57 - 56
2025-12-18 vs Miami Hurricanes L 61 - 64
2025-12-22 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 78 - 66
2026-01-01 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 74 - 55
2026-01-04 vs Syracuse Orange L 58 - 73
2026-01-08 @ Stanford Cardinal L 43 - 55
2026-01-11 @ California Golden Bears L 52 - 61
2026-01-15 vs NC State Wolfpack L 77 - 95
2026-01-18 @ Clemson Tigers L 71 - 78
2026-01-25 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 57 - 85
2026-01-29 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 103 - 109
2026-02-01 @ Duke Blue Devils L 44 - 80
2026-02-05 @ SMU Mustangs W 70 - 65
2026-02-08 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 56 - 84
2026-02-12 @ Louisville Cardinals L 67 - 86
2026-02-19 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 54 - 78
2026-02-22 @ Boston College Eagles W 79 - 65
2026-02-26 @ NC State Wolfpack L 56 - 65
2026-03-01 vs Florida State Seminoles L 74 - 77
2026-03-04 @ California Golden Bears L 52 - 75
2026-03-19 vs Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks L 48 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
G. Oliver G. Oliver F 27 31.0 14.6 6.2 1.7 1.2 0.5 1.9 9.7 12.4 -77 -3.5 -4.4 61.2 40.3 75.0 1.3 68.3 66.7
M. Carter M. Carter G 30 31.6 10.7 4.7 1.2 0.9 0.6 1.5 10.0 6.7 44 1.9 3.3 40.5 34.2 85.0 1.5 52.3 51.0
R. Preston R. Preston G 7 21.4 9.4 6.0 2.6 2.6 0.4 1.3 6.9 12.9 -22 -2.4 -5.7 47.9 14.3 67.9 -0.6 54.7 49.0
M. Brown M. Brown G 29 25.3 9.0 6.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 3.1 8.4 7.5 163 7.1 9.9 44.0 44.4 58.2 3.88 47.9 45.7
C. Jones C. Jones G 26 20.8 8.5 2.4 2.6 0.7 0.0 2.3 6.5 5.4 41 2.0 2.6 52.7 37.5 66.1 2.08 57.1 54.4
A. Sorbye A. Sorbye G 30 30.0 7.2 1.9 3.0 0.8 0.0 2.5 5.6 4.8 - - - 43.7 37.4 74.0 - 57.4 53.9
O. Bird O. Bird F 30 25.5 5.3 3.2 2.9 0.8 0.7 2.1 4.9 5.9 -82 -3.4 -5.8 36.7 30.2 66.0 -1.11 46.7 42.2
E. Johns E. Johns F 27 11.2 3.7 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.5 3.5 1.7 -33 -1.6 -8.7 38.3 23.8 81.5 1.76 46.8 41.0
K. Moore K. Moore F 30 12.6 2.8 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.3 0.9 3.1 3.0 6 0.2 0.7 35.1 33.3 70.0 0.97 42.7 41.0
G. Galbavy G. Galbavy G 20 9.2 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.7 2.1 2.2 -10 -0.8 -7.0 40.5 33.3 83.3 -1.23 52.6 50.0
M. Jordan M. Jordan G 30 11.3 2.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.5 1.0 -51 -2.0 -4.5 28.4 26.3 38.9 -2.53 39.1 38.5
S. Metcalfe S. Metcalfe F 14 5.1 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.5 0.6 1.3 1.5 -24 -1.7 -12.2 50.0 0.0 50.0 -2.2 51.1 50.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG