Model Predictions
| Model | William & Mary Tribe | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -3 (64-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
William & Mary Tribe
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dance | 38 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 5 | -4.1 |
| C. Geddes | 34 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -6.3 |
| N. Fox | 32 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 10 | -3.1 |
| A. Mikeska | 31 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -1.7 |
| J. Sallman | 26 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | +3.5 |
| D. Pierce | 21 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | -3.5 |
| K. Smith | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +18.1 |
| A. Gibson | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +2.6 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Carter | 37 | 6-14 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +1.5 |
| A. Sorbye | 33 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Oliver | 32 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +3.5 |
| O. Bird | 26 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +8.9 |
| M. Brown | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -10.9 |
| C. Jones | 19 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +17.4 |
| K. Moore | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.8 |
| M. Jordan | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -9.5 |
| E. Johns | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2.5 |
| S. Metcalfe | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.9 |
* = starter