Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (7.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Johnson | 55 | 7-23 | 5-13 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 13 | -3.8 |
| C. Weimar | 43 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 24 | -7.2 |
| G. White | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | -1.4 |
| R. Levy | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +17.9 |
| T. Amanze | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | -6.4 |
| S. Smith | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +7.7 |
| J. Brown | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -16.6 |
| P. Clark | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -6.4 |
| A. Ring | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bird | 51 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +5.4 |
| M. Brown | 50 | 11-20 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 23 | +8.7 |
| M. Carter | 48 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +6.7 |
| A. Sorbye | 36 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Jones | 32 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +22.9 |
| G. Oliver | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | -2.5 |
| E. Johns | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +0.4 |
| K. Moore | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.7 |
| G. Galbavy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
| M. Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.4 |
* = starter