Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.1% | 6.9% | -14.3 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -6 (103-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kymora Johnson | 55 | 7-23 | 5-13 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Caitlin Weimar | 43 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 24 | -1.9 |
| Gabby White | 38 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 25 | +5.5 |
| Romi Levy | 37 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +16.2 |
| Tabitha Amanze | 36 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 7 | +0.4 |
| Sa'Myah Smith | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +4.3 |
| Jillian Brown | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -18.8 |
| Paris Clark | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -7.9 |
| Adeang Ring | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.5 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opal Bird | 51 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +14.3 |
| Milan Brown | 50 | 11-20 | 3-4 | 5-7 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 23 | +6.2 |
| Mary Carter | 48 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +4.6 |
| A. Sorbye | 36 | 4-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -16.4 |
| Caitlyn Jones | 32 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 14 | +23.6 |
| Grace Oliver | 29 | 5-10 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | -8.5 |
| Emily Johns | 15 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1.2 |
| Kennedy Moore | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.4 |
| Grace Galbavy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Madisyn Jordan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.7 |
* = starter