Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.8% | 13.2% | -22.2 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.0% | 15.0% | -19.1 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 85.1% | 14.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -18 (77-95). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zamareya Jones * | 35 | 7-13 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Khamil Pierre * | 33 | 12-17 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| Tilda Trygger * | 31 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Zoe Brooks * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Qadence Samuels * | 27 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Maddie Cox | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Destiny Lunan | 15 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Devyn Quigley | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Adelaide Jernigan | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Mallory Collier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurora Sorbye * | 34 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Mary Carter * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Grace Oliver * | 29 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Opal Bird * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Milan Brown * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Caitlyn Jones | 18 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Kennedy Moore | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Grace Galbavy | 11 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Madisyn Jordan | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Emily Johns | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Savannah Metcalfe | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter