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2026-01-15

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 80.3% 19.7% -
Bradley-Terry 75.8% 24.2% -
Margin 96.3% 3.7% -17.9 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 83.8% 16.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% -
Log Adjusted 95.5% 4.5% -
Points Off/Def 81.0% 19.0% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons -18 (77-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Jones 35 7-13 6-10 0-0 2 5 2 0 3 20 13 +7.0
K. Pierre 33 12-17 0-0 2-3 14 1 1 0 2 26 23 +15.9
T. Trygger 31 7-11 2-3 2-2 13 1 0 2 2 18 21 +16.2
Z. Brooks 30 4-9 1-2 7-8 3 9 1 0 0 16 20 +22.9
Q. Samuels 27 3-9 1-7 1-2 6 5 0 0 0 8 10 +8.4
M. Cox 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -12.2
D. Lunan 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 3 0 0 5 9 -7.7
D. Quigley 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -5.5
A. Jernigan 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +4.7
M. Collier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.4

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Sorbye 34 4-8 3-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 11 6 -
M. Carter 34 6-11 3-5 0-0 7 1 2 0 0 15 14 -11.6
G. Oliver 29 6-10 2-4 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 14 9 -1.0
O. Bird 24 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 3 5 +24.9
M. Brown 22 4-7 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 4 9 0 -7.7
C. Jones 18 5-8 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 12 5 -4.0
K. Moore 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +12.6
G. Galbavy 11 4-4 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 11 12 -2.6
M. Jordan 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -3.9
E. Johns 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -18.4
S. Metcalfe 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +0.2

* = starter