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USC

Also known as: USC Trojans, USC
Program History

2007 Team Stats (16 games)

69.9
PPG
72.6
Opp
-2.6
Margin
47.3%
FG%
40.8%
3P%
67.7%
FT%
29.8
RPG
12.3
APG
12.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
72.9
Adj PPG
61.5
Adj Opp PPG
#46
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2006-2007
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1287 (#31) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1217 (#38) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +118 elo More โ†’ 1097 (#46) HCA +118 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +12.3 (#45) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.6 More โ†’ +14.5 (#24) HCA +3.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.751 (#52) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +20.5 More โ†’ 0.914 (#38) AdjNet +20.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +20.8 More โ†’ 0.917 (#36) AdjNet +20.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 61.5 More โ†’ 0.737 (#46) AdjO 72.9 | AdjD 61.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.690 (#32) AdjO 73.0 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.814 (#29) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.807 (#28) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 92 | GP 37 More โ†’ 1264 (#21) RD 92 | GP 37

2007 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2006-11-16 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 74 - 80
2006-11-18 vs Saint Mary's Gaels W 69 - 63
2006-11-21 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 74 - 58
2006-11-24 vs Long Beach State Beach W 79 - 61
2006-11-28 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils W 63 - 39
2006-12-02 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 67 - 50
2006-12-04 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 62 - 72
2006-12-09 vs George Washington Colonials W 74 - 65
2006-12-14 vs Bethune-Cookman Wildcats W 88 - 36
2006-12-17 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 70 - 58
2006-12-19 vs Longwood Lancers W 83 - 53
2006-12-22 vs Kansas State Wildcats L 55 - 68
2006-12-23 vs Wichita State Shockers W 60 - 56
2006-12-28 vs Washington Huskies W 86 - 79
2006-12-30 vs Washington State Cougars L 55 - 58
2007-01-04 @ Oregon Ducks W 84 - 82
2007-01-06 @ Oregon State Beavers W 91 - 46
2007-01-13 vs UCLA Bruins L 64 - 65
2007-01-18 vs Arizona Wildcats W 80 - 73
2007-01-20 vs Arizona State Sun Devils W 58 - 49
2007-01-25 @ Stanford Cardinal L 50 - 65
2007-01-27 @ California Golden Bears W 76 - 73
2007-02-01 vs Oregon State Beavers W 73 - 56
2007-02-03 vs Oregon Ducks W 71 - 68
2007-02-07 @ UCLA Bruins L 65 - 70
2007-02-15 @ Arizona Wildcats W 80 - 75
2007-02-18 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 58 - 68
2007-02-22 vs Stanford Cardinal W 69 - 65
2007-02-24 vs California Golden Bears W 84 - 66
2007-03-01 @ Washington Huskies L 70 - 85
2007-03-03 @ Washington State Cougars L 86 - 88
2007-03-08 vs Stanford Cardinal W 83 - 79
2007-03-09 @ Washington State Cougars W 70 - 61
2007-03-10 vs Oregon Ducks L 57 - 81
2007-03-16 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 77 - 60
2007-03-18 @ Texas Longhorns W 87 - 68
2007-03-23 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 64 - 74

2007 Roster

No roster data available for this season.