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2006-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% -
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.5% 56.5% -
Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 29.4% 70.6% -
Log Adjusted 29.0% 71.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +7 (86-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Hawes 47 10-16 1-1 3-4 5 2 0 2 3 24 14 -
R. Appleby 37 6-11 6-9 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 18 10 -
A. Oliver 32 3-7 1-1 0-1 2 3 1 0 0 7 6 -
J. Dentmon 28 4-8 1-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 4 9 3 -
J. Brockman 26 1-5 0-0 2-3 11 1 1 0 1 4 11 -
Q. Pondexter 26 1-7 1-3 2-2 6 1 0 0 3 5 2 -
H. Gasser 24 2-6 2-4 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 7 4 -
B. Burmeister 17 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 3 0 -
P. Nelson 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 1 -
A. Wallace 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Young 45 8-16 1-2 8-10 3 1 0 0 2 25 11 -
G. Pruitt 44 5-14 2-6 6-7 3 6 1 0 2 18 12 -
A. Betz-White 42 2-9 1-3 2-3 9 1 0 0 4 7 4 -
T. Gibson 41 8-11 0-0 6-7 10 0 1 2 0 22 24 -
K. Wilkinson 36 1-2 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 0 5 10 -
R. Cromwell 16 0-2 0-0 2-5 3 0 2 0 1 2 4 -
D. Lewis 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 7 7 -
D. Hackett 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. N'Diaye 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter