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2007-01-13

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 29.3% 70.7% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 54.9% 45.1% -1.1 (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 56.2% 43.8% -
Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Log Adjusted 82.7% 17.3% -

Actual: USC Trojans -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo 38 5-13 3-9 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 15 7 -
D. Collison 36 4-10 3-5 6-7 4 3 1 0 3 17 12 -
L. Mbah a Moute 34 2-9 1-3 0-0 7 4 0 0 1 5 6 -
M. Roll 29 1-6 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 3 4 -
A. Aboya 20 2-6 0-0 1-3 8 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
L. Mata-Real 19 5-6 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 1 3 12 12 -
R. Westbrook 16 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 6 0 -
J. Keefe 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Wright 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gibson 40 4-10 0-0 1-3 8 1 1 4 3 9 10 -
N. Young 35 6-14 1-2 1-2 6 0 0 0 2 14 4 -
G. Pruitt 33 3-10 3-6 1-2 2 3 2 0 3 10 4 -
A. Betz-White 32 5-13 3-7 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 13 5 -
D. Lewis 26 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 1 0 0 2 7 5 -
D. Hackett 25 2-2 0-0 3-5 2 3 1 0 0 7 11 -
A. N'Diaye 9 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 9 -

* = starter