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2007-02-07

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 54.8% 45.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 20.3% 79.7% +7.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.4% 98.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.5% 88.5% -
Log Adjusted 11.3% 88.7% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Pruitt 39 6-12 1-5 3-5 0 6 2 1 3 16 10 -
N. Young 39 9-12 2-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 5 20 9 -
D. Lewis 33 3-7 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
T. Gibson 32 4-8 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 2 8 9 -
A. Betz-White 30 6-8 1-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 13 8 -
D. Hackett 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Cromwell 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Wilkinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Penrose 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 36 7-12 1-5 2-3 1 2 0 0 6 17 2 -
L. Mbah a Moute 35 4-9 0-1 3-4 10 0 1 2 1 11 14 -
J. Shipp 32 1-5 0-1 7-7 3 4 0 0 2 9 9 -
A. Afflalo 32 3-11 1-7 9-10 3 1 0 0 3 16 6 -
L. Mata-Real 21 1-2 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
A. Aboya 20 4-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 1 0 0 9 12 -
M. Roll 16 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Westbrook 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Keefe 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter