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2007-03-18

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 44.5% 55.5% -
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% -
Margin 15.0% 85.0% +9.6 (28.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 7.8% 92.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% -
Log Adjusted 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns -19 (68-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Pruitt * 37 2-8 1-3 5-6 6 8 2 0 1 10 17 -
N. Young * 36 8-13 2-3 4-4 7 0 1 1 3 22 15 -
D. Hackett * 33 7-10 2-4 4-4 4 3 2 0 4 20 15 -
A. Betz-White * 32 4-10 1-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 10 1 -
T. Gibson * 30 4-11 0-0 9-14 14 2 1 1 2 17 22 -
D. Lewis 21 1-4 0-2 4-8 5 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
K. Wilkinson 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Austin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Durant * 40 11-24 2-9 6-8 9 1 1 2 2 30 17 -
A.J. Abrams * 38 7-14 4-7 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 20 9 -
D.J. Augustin * 36 1-8 0-4 4-4 2 5 0 0 6 6 -1 -
D. James * 22 1-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 2 7 -
J. Mason * 16 2-5 1-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 6 7 -
J.D. Lewis 19 0-5 0-4 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Winder 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
C. Atchley 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 1 -
M. Hill 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter