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2007-03-23

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 50.6% 49.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.8% 97.2% -
Log Adjusted 2.8% 97.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Pruitt * 38 5-15 1-6 2-2 4 7 5 1 2 13 13 -
N. Young * 36 6-13 1-5 2-2 7 0 0 0 6 15 3 -
A. Betz-White * 36 6-15 3-7 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 15 5 -
T. Gibson * 34 7-12 0-0 2-3 12 0 0 4 4 16 16 -
D. Hackett * 29 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 3 0 0 3 5 2 -
K. Wilkinson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
D. Lewis 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
R. Cromwell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wright * 35 9-15 0-0 3-4 9 1 0 1 2 21 15 -
T. Lawson * 32 2-10 0-3 0-1 7 4 3 1 1 4 8 -
T. Hansbrough * 29 1-6 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
W. Ellington * 28 6-16 0-2 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 12 0 -
R. Terry * 5 4-6 1-2 0-1 0 1 0 0 0 9 4 -
M. Ginyard 26 3-9 0-1 4-5 9 0 0 0 1 10 9 -
D. Green 18 3-7 0-2 2-2 8 4 1 1 1 8 14 -
W. Miller 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
D. Thompson 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
B. Frasor 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
Q. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Stepheson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter