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2007-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% -
Margin 46.7% 53.3% +0.7 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.1% 59.9% -
Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.2% 75.8% -
Log Adjusted 23.7% 76.3% -

Actual: USC Trojans +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hill * 32 1-8 0-3 1-3 7 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
B. Lopez * 31 2-7 0-0 2-2 10 1 0 1 4 6 7 -
F. Washington * 28 5-11 0-1 2-3 4 0 1 0 3 12 3 -
M. Johnson * 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 4 4 -
R. Lopez * 18 3-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 3 1 6 8 -
A. Goods 37 6-14 4-9 3-6 4 5 2 0 1 19 15 -
L. Fields 26 6-8 3-5 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
T. Finger 15 3-3 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 8 9 -
K. Brown 13 2-7 1-4 1-1 1 0 0 0 1 6 -1 -
P. Prowitt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Young * 42 8-18 1-3 9-10 5 2 0 0 2 26 13 -
G. Pruitt * 40 4-11 3-6 6-7 1 8 2 0 2 17 15 -
T. Gibson * 32 6-15 0-0 1-4 10 1 0 2 3 13 8 -
A. Betz-White * 28 3-6 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 4 -
K. Wilkinson * 20 0-1 0-0 3-4 5 0 0 1 1 3 7 -
D. Hackett 26 2-6 2-4 2-3 4 1 1 0 4 8 4 -
D. Lewis 21 3-5 2-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 10 6 -
R. Cromwell 16 0-0 0-0 0-1 3 1 2 1 0 0 7 -

* = starter