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Troy

2012 Team Stats (1 games)

68.0
PPG
106.0
Opp
-38.0
Margin
32.5%
FG%
22.9%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
46.0
RPG
11.0
APG
13.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
69.0
Adj PPG
75.5
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 804 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 877 (#263) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 933 (#263) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -6.8 (#269) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -7.1 (#273) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.212 (#291) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -10.7 More โ†’ 0.227 (#269) AdjNet -10.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -10.7 More โ†’ 0.225 (#269) AdjNet -10.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 75.5 More โ†’ 0.357 (#270) AdjO 69.0 | AdjD 75.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 73.8 More โ†’ 0.375 (#285) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 73.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.315 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.318 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 24 More โ†’ 858 (#260) RD 157 | GP 24

2012 Schedule & Results

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Will Weathers Will Weathers G 24 33.9 12.6 2.8 5.3 1.2 0.0 3.0 3.4 15.5 -61 20 -3.0 -3.8 26.8 20.0 71.4 0.39 166.0 30.5
Alan Jones Alan Jones G 25 21.7 10.1 2.0 0.7 1.0 0.1 1.0 3.2 9.6 -58 21 -2.8 -5.6 26.6 25.5 75.0 -2.28 153.3 34.8
Justin Wright Justin Wright G 25 23.1 10.0 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 1.4 2.8 10.8 -64 21 -3.0 -5.7 43.5 34.1 76.9 -0.54 166.6 53.6
Emil Jones Emil Jones G 25 30.2 9.3 5.8 2.0 1.5 0.2 1.6 2.8 14.3 -81 21 -3.9 -5.5 41.4 40.9 63.6 0.12 155.0 47.9
R.J. Scott R.J. Scott G 25 21.5 8.7 3.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 2.1 2.6 9.7 -62 21 -3.0 -6.2 36.9 34.2 71.4 -1.91 160.1 46.9
Steven Cunningham Steven Cunningham G-F 19 19.9 6.1 3.4 1.3 1.1 0.8 1.5 1.6 9.6 -9 18 -0.5 -1.2 35.5 10.0 33.3 0.78 159.9 37.1
Ray Chambers Ray Chambers F 25 16.7 5.0 4.6 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.8 1.5 8.4 -13 21 -0.6 -1.6 43.2 0.0 87.5 0.79 143.1 43.2
Tim Owens Tim Owens F 25 21.8 4.9 4.7 0.3 0.3 2.0 0.7 1.2 10.3 -71 21 -3.4 -6.7 70.0 0 82.4 -1.37 162.8 70.0
Daronte Clark Daronte Clark G 24 15.4 4.8 2.1 0.6 0.6 0.0 0.6 1.6 6.0 -51 18 -2.8 -9.9 28.9 23.1 50.0 -2.45 144.6 36.8
Nic Combs Nic Combs G 10 9.6 3.0 1.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 0.5 4.6 -13 5 -2.6 -14.0 60.0 0 0.0 -1.76 255.1 60.0
Brian Feldman Brian Feldman G 4 5.0 2.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.2 - - - - 50.0 50.0 0 -1.05 200.0 75.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG