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2011-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% - โœ—
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +5.9 โœ— (9.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.1% 67.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 37.0% 63.0% - โœ—

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Weathers 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 7 2 0 4 22 31 -
R.J. Scott 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 5 17 20 -
Emil Jones 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 13 19 -
Alan Jones 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 14 16 -
Justin Wright 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
Ray Chambers 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 15 -
Tim Owens 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 4 -
Daronte Clark 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Nic Combs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ray Jones 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 9 1 2 5 5 17 -
Damon Heuir 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 22 27 -
Jordan Johnson 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 1 1 3 12 -
Matt Massey 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 12 15 -
Ramell Taylor 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 16 18 -
Jackson Stevenett 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 7 11 -
Tyson Koehler 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 12 -
Wade Collie 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 7 -
Jaren Jeffery 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter