Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.0% | 89.0% | +11.5 | ✓ (1.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: East Tennessee State Buccaneers +10 (81-71). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Jones | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Nic Combs | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tim Owens | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 24 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Alan Jones | 23 | 3-13 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Justin Wright | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Daronte Clark | 17 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Hubbard | 33 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Dubose | 32 | 12-26 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 5 | - |
| Adam Sollazzo | 31 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Sheldon Cooley | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Isiah Brown | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Lukas Poderis | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jarvis Jones | 19 | 5-8 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| J.C. Ward | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter