Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | -12.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.7% | 17.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.3% | 5.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.4% | 5.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -10 (53-63). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Knight * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bruce Massey * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| LaRon Dendy * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| James Gallman * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| JT Sulton * | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Raymond Cintron | 30 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Jones | 20 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Jason Jones | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Oden | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kerry Hammonds II | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 38 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Daronte Clark * | 26 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| R.J. Scott * | 25 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Justin Wright | 19 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Alan Jones | 14 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | - |
* = starter