Model Predictions
| Model | South Alabama Jaguars | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.6% | 56.4% | +0.9 | ✗ (15.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans -15 (60-75). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Freddie Goldstein * | 32 | 10-19 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 15 | - |
| Mychal Ammons * | 31 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Javier Carter * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - |
| Augustine Rubit * | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Trey Anderson | 33 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Antione Lundy | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeAndre Hersey | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dallas Jones | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wendell Wright | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 29 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 11 | - |
| R.J. Scott * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Daronte Clark * | 14 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Justin Wright | 24 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Alan Jones | 22 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 15 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter