Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.5% | 81.5% | +8.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +24 (83-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Steven Cunningham * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Justin Wright * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Alan Jones | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Daronte Clark | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edward Townsel * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Marcus Hooten * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Malcoln Kirkland * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Trey Finn * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 24 | - |
| Brandon Peterson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Rakeem Dickerson | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Darion Griswold | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Adam Sterrenberg | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Johnny Zuppardo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Bryce Clark | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter