Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Troy Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.5% | 50.5% | -0.7 | ✓ (8.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Troy Trojans +8 (80-72). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Stevenett * | 40 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Ramell Taylor * | 38 | 8-19 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 7 | - |
| Matt Massey * | 32 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 5 | - |
| Ray Jones, Jr. * | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Damon Heuir * | 21 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Wade Collie | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jordan Johnson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chris Nsenki | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Julian Scott | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Troy Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weathers * | 36 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Alan Jones * | 23 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Justin Wright * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Emil Jones * | 22 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tim Owens * | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| R.J. Scott | 20 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Ray Chambers | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Daronte Clark | 17 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Steven Cunningham | 17 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Nic Combs | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter