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2012-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Troy Trojans Western Kentucky Hilltoppers Spread Result
Elo 18.0% 82.0% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 26.9% 73.1% - โœ—
Margin 18.1% 81.9% +8.3 โœ— (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 20.2% 79.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 20.1% 79.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 32.9% 67.1% - โœ—

Actual: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Troy Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Will Weathers * 39 3-10 1-4 0-0 1 8 3 0 3 7 6 -
Emil Jones * 28 0-7 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Tim Owens * 25 5-6 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 10 10 -
R.J. Scott * 17 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
Daronte Clark * 13 1-5 1-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Alan Jones 27 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 1 3 0 2 10 10 -
Justin Wright 25 7-13 2-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 2 17 7 -
Ray Chambers 15 5-6 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 14 9 -
Steven Cunningham 11 1-4 0-1 0-1 3 1 0 1 1 2 2 -

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Gordon * 35 5-13 1-4 5-9 6 3 3 0 5 16 10 -
Jamal Crook * 28 6-11 0-1 0-0 4 2 2 0 3 12 6 -
Kahlil McDonald * 27 0-6 0-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 0 -2 -
George Fant * 20 2-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 1 6 10 -
Vinny Zollo * 17 2-3 2-3 5-6 3 0 1 0 0 11 12 -
T.J. Price 26 3-8 2-7 0-0 3 3 0 1 4 8 3 -
Teeng Akol 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Kevin Kaspar 16 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
Nigel Snipes 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter