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Toledo

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Toledo Rockets, Toledo
Program History
Coach: Tod Kowalczyk

2027 Team Stats (1 games)

70.0
PPG
71.0
Opp
-1.0
Margin
39.7%
FG%
22.2%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
50.0
RPG
21.0
APG
16.0
TO
77.5
Est. poss./game
67.7
Adj PPG
62.6
Adj Opp PPG
#52
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2026-2027
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Preseason prior 1049 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1028, returning +1, transfers -20, freshmen +40 More → 1040 (#119) Preseason prior 1049 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1028, returning +1, transfers -20, freshmen +40
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 977 (#236) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +268 elo More → 976 (#206) HCA +268 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +17.4 More → +8.0 (#55) HCA +17.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +16.1 More → +7.4 (#51) HCA +16.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.459 (#126) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -1.3 More → 0.459 (#126) NetEff -1.3
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.486 (#126) AdjNet -0.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.5 More → 0.486 (#126) AdjNet -0.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.615 (#52) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.6 More → 0.615 (#48) AdjO 67.7 | AdjD 62.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.540 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.540 (#98) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 218 | GP 1 More → 904 (#180) RD 218 | GP 1

2027 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2026-11-02 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 70 - 71
2026-11-05 @ Michigan State Spartans - Preview
2026-11-07 @ Marshall Thundering Herd - Preview
2026-11-10 vs Wright State Raiders - Preview

2027 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Mynor Strong Mynor Strong G 1 36.0 18.0 3.0 2.0 4.0 0.0 2.0 16.0 9.0 - - - - 37.5 25.0 75.0 - 50.7 46.9
Jaylan Ouwinga Jaylan Ouwinga F 1 30.0 16.0 14.0 1.0 2.0 0.0 3.0 17.0 13.0 - - - - 47.1 0.0 0 - 47.1 47.1
Angel Montas Jr. Angel Montas Jr. G 1 26.0 16.0 10.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 16.0 13.0 - - - - 43.8 50.0 50.0 - 47.4 46.9
Will James, Jr. Will James, Jr. G 1 16.0 5.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 - - - - 66.7 100.0 0 - 83.3 83.3
Chris Riddle Chris Riddle F 1 24.0 5.0 4.0 5.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 8.0 - - - - 40.0 25.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Austin Parks Austin Parks C 1 17.0 4.0 4.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 4.0 4.0 - - - - 50.0 0.0 0 - 50.0 50.0
Sean Jones Sean Jones G 1 33.0 4.0 4.0 9.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 6.0 10.0 - - - - 16.7 0.0 100.0 - 29.1 16.7
Rich Barron Rich Barron F 1 6.0 2.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0 5.0 -5.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 0 - 20.0 20.0
Toby Nwokolo Toby Nwokolo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Jaylohn Allen Jaylohn Allen G 1 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 -2.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0
Manny Johnson Manny Johnson G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Marco Mattucci Marco Mattucci G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Rashaun Porter Rashaun Porter F 1 5.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

Alumni in the Pros

Every program's alumni →

Former Toledo players in NBA 2026-2027, G League 2025-2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Toledo game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.

Active alumni

Player At School League Team GP MPG PPG RPG APG Last game Last 30 days
Ryan Rollins 2020-22 NBA Milwaukee Bucks 7 25.0 11.0 4.1 4.3 11-02 10 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast 7 GP, 11.0 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 4.3 APG
RayJ Dennis 2021-23 NBA Atlanta Hawks + G League 31 GP 1 7.6 4.0 2.0 2.0 11-02 4 pts, 2 reb, 2 ast 1 GP, 4.0 PPG, 2.0 RPG, 2.0 APG

Alumni around the leagues: recent games

Date Player League Team Opponent MIN PTS REB AST Box
2026-11-02 Ryan Rollins NBA Milwaukee Bucks @ Minnesota Timberwolves 17 10 3 2 Box
2026-11-02 RayJ Dennis NBA Atlanta Hawks @ Indiana Pacers 8 4 2 2 Box
2026-10-31 Ryan Rollins NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Cleveland Cavaliers 26 9 3 7 Box
2026-10-28 Ryan Rollins NBA Milwaukee Bucks vs Houston Rockets 17 4 4 5 Box
2026-10-16 RayJ Dennis NBA Preseason Atlanta Hawks @ Dallas Mavericks 6 2 2 1 Box
2026-10-12 RayJ Dennis NBA Preseason Atlanta Hawks vs Oklahoma City Thunder 24 13 4 7 Box

2026-2027 Shot Zones

73 located field-goal attempts in 1 game (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Montas40% Montas44% Ouwinga60% Ouwinga50% Ouwinga100% Riddle100% Strong100% Montas33% Strong100%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Montas50% Montas55% Ouwinga38% Ouwinga100% Ouwinga100% Riddle50% Barron100% Strong56% Strong50% Ouwinga67%
Misses: who misses most here

Jaylan OuwingaAngel Montas Jr.Mynor StrongChris RiddleRich Barron

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 5-7 71.4 10 Angel Montas Jr. 40% (4 pts) Austin Parks 20% (2 pts) Angel Montas Jr. 50% (1 misses) Jaylan Ouwinga 50% (1 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 9-20 45.0 18 Angel Montas Jr. 44% (8 pts) Austin Parks 11% (2 pts) Angel Montas Jr. 55% (6 misses) Rich Barron 18% (2 misses)
Mid-range left 5-13 38.5 10 Jaylan Ouwinga 60% (6 pts) Mynor Strong 20% (2 pts) Jaylan Ouwinga 38% (3 misses) Sean Jones 25% (2 misses)
Mid-range center 2-3 66.7 4 Jaylan Ouwinga 50% (2 pts) Mynor Strong 50% (2 pts) Jaylan Ouwinga 100% (1 misses) -
Mid-range right 2-3 66.7 4 Jaylan Ouwinga 100% (4 pts) - Jaylan Ouwinga 100% (1 misses) -
Left corner 3 1-5 20.0 3 Chris Riddle 100% (3 pts) - Chris Riddle 50% (2 misses) Mynor Strong 25% (1 misses)
Right corner 3 1-2 50.0 3 Mynor Strong 100% (3 pts) - Rich Barron 100% (1 misses) -
Above-break 3 left 3-12 25.0 9 Angel Montas Jr. 33% (3 pts) Mynor Strong 33% (3 pts) Mynor Strong 56% (5 misses) Sean Jones 22% (2 misses)
Above-break 3 center 1-5 20.0 3 Mynor Strong 100% (3 pts) - Mynor Strong 50% (2 misses) Austin Parks 25% (1 misses)
Above-break 3 right 0-3 0.0 0 - - Jaylan Ouwinga 67% (2 misses) Mynor Strong 33% (1 misses)