Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Michigan Sta... | Spread | Projected |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.0% (#119) | 96.0% (#10) | Michiga... -22.9 | 64-86 |
| Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
|
36.5% (#236) | 63.5% (#32) | - | - |
| Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
|
3.1% (#55) | 96.9% (#40) | Michiga... -19.0 | - |
| Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
|
28.6% (#126) | 71.4% (#21) | - | - |
| Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
1.0% (#126) | 99.0% (#21) | - | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.9% (#126) | 95.1% (#21) | - | - |
| Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
|
4.9% (#126) | 95.1% (#21) | - | - |
| Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
|
39.4% (#52) | 60.6% (#30) | - | - |
2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.
Team Stats Comparison
| Stat | Toledo Rockets | Michigan Sta... |
|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 |
| PPG | 70.0 | 96.0 |
| FG% | 39.7% | 58.1% |
| 3PT% | 22.2% | 39.1% |
| FT% | 75.0% | 57.7% |
| RPG | 50.0 | 46.0 |
| APG | 21.0 | 22.0 |
| SPG | 7.0 | 10.0 |
| BPG | 3.0 | 8.0 |
| TOPG | 16.0 | 12.0 |
Efficiency Ratings
| Metric | Toledo Rockets | Michigan Sta... |
|---|---|---|
| Adj. Off Eff | 99.8 | 108.0 |
| Adj. Def Eff | 100.2 | 92.0 |
| Adj. Net Eff | -0.5 | 15.9 |
Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength
Toledo Rockets Top Players
No player data available
Michigan State Spartans Top Players
No player data available