Michigan State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
93.0
PPG
66.2
Opp
+26.8
Margin
50.6%
FG%
42.3%
3P%
68.1%
FT%
45.5
RPG
20.3
APG
13.3
TO
71.9
Est. poss./game
85.2
Adj PPG
62.1
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1538 (#6) | Preseason prior 1490 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1210, returning +171, transfers -26, freshmen +135 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1290 (#7) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1284 (#6) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +34.1 (#2) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +34.1 (#2) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.957 (#13) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.935 (#3) | AdjNet +35.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.937 (#3) | AdjNet +35.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.889 (#3) | AdjO 85.2 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.888 (#3) | AdjO 85.3 | AdjD 62.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.928 (#3) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.928 (#3) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1339 (#7) | RD 169 | GP 4 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.908 (#7) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Quinnipiac Bobcats | W | 96 - 59 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | Toledo Rockets | W | 91 - 61 |
| 2026-11-10 | @ | Duke Blue Devils | W | 79 - 73 |
| 2026-11-13 | vs | Northern Iowa Panthers | W | 106 - 72 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | Tennessee Volunteers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jeremy Fears Jr.
|
G | 4 | 28.0 | 16.8 | 2.2 | 10.0 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 7.8 | 20.0 | 58 | 3 | 19.3 | 27.8 | 54.8 | 38.5 | 77.8 | 2.84 | 71.5 | 62.9 |
Jasiah Jervis
|
G | 4 | 25.5 | 12.5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 9.8 | 40 | 3 | 13.3 | 20.3 | 54.8 | 54.5 | 66.7 | 0.56 | 74.3 | 74.2 |
Coen Carr
|
F | 4 | 21.5 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 5.8 | 11.0 | 61 | 3 | 20.3 | 38.0 | 56.5 | 60.0 | 76.5 | 2.53 | 68.9 | 63.0 |
Jordan Scott
|
F | 4 | 24.0 | 9.8 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 13.2 | 43 | 3 | 14.3 | 21.9 | 41.7 | 35.0 | 50.0 | 1.64 | 51.6 | 51.4 |
Kaleb Glenn
|
F | 4 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 27 | 3 | 9.0 | 30.8 | 42.1 | 16.7 | 75.0 | 0.59 | 55.7 | 44.7 |
Carlos Medlock Jr.
|
G | 4 | 13.2 | 7.0 | 0.8 | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 20 | 3 | 6.7 | 19.8 | 45.5 | 54.5 | 25.0 | 0.3 | 54.9 | 59.1 |
Jesse McCulloch
|
F | 3 | 16.7 | 6.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 3.3 | 8.7 | 9 | 2 | 4.5 | 10.6 | 70.0 | 60.0 | 75.0 | -0.24 | 85.0 | 85.0 |
Cameron Ward
|
F | 4 | 16.2 | 6.5 | 4.8 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 3.2 | 9.0 | 23 | 3 | 7.7 | 20.1 | 61.5 | 0 | 55.6 | 1.62 | 62.1 | 61.5 |
Anton Bonke
|
C | 4 | 13.2 | 5.5 | 5.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 3.2 | 6.8 | 36 | 3 | 12.0 | 32.1 | 69.2 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.72 | 66.6 | 69.2 |
Kur Teng
|
G | 4 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 4.8 | 3.8 | 27 | 3 | 9.0 | 28.5 | 36.8 | 37.5 | 100.0 | 2.17 | 55.3 | 52.6 |
Ethan Taylor
|
C | 4 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 3.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 6.0 | 21 | 3 | 7.0 | 23.8 | 57.1 | 0 | 71.4 | -0.01 | 68.4 | 57.1 |
Julius Avent
|
F | 3 | 5.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 6 | 2 | 3.0 | 19.4 | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | -0.03 | 62.5 | 62.5 |
Colin Walton
|
F | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -24.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.62 | 53.2 | 0.0 |
Matthew Watkins
|
G | 3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -24.6 | 33.3 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.31 | 33.3 | 33.3 |
Brennan Walton
|
F | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -24.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.62 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Michigan State players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, EuroCup 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Michigan State game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaren Jackson Jr. | 2017-18 | NBA | Utah Jazz | 4 | 26.1 | 16.2 | 5.0 | 2.0 | 10-26 6 pts, 3 reb, 2 ast | 4 GP, 16.2 PPG, 5.0 RPG, 2.0 APG |
| Miles Bridges | 2016-18 | NBA | Phoenix Suns | 11 | 29.7 | 14.6 | 7.3 | 3.1 | 11-12 11 pts, 6 reb, 3 ast | 11 GP, 14.6 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.1 APG |
| Jase Richardson | 2024-25 | NBA | Orlando Magic | 11 | 21.8 | 5.9 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 11-11 6 pts, 1 reb, 2 ast | 11 GP, 5.9 PPG, 1.9 RPG, 2.5 APG |
| Max Christie | 2021-22 | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | 11 | 18.4 | 5.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 11-12 3 pts, 2 reb, 0 ast | 11 GP, 5.3 PPG, 2.9 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| Draymond Green | 2008-12 | NBA | Golden State Warriors | 11 | 25.8 | 3.3 | 4.7 | 7.1 | 11-13 4 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | 11 GP, 3.3 PPG, 4.7 RPG, 7.1 APG |
| Jaden Akins | 2021-25 | NBA | New York Knicks | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10-27 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 2 GP, 0.0 PPG, 0.0 RPG, 0.0 APG |
| Marcus Bingham Jr. | 2018-22 | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | 10 | 17.6 | 7.4 | 4.3 | 0.7 | 11-11 14 pts, 6 reb, 1 ast | 5 GP, 5.6 PPG, 3.6 RPG, 1.2 APG |
| A.J. Hoggard | 2020-24 | G League | Raptors 905 | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-12 29 pts, 7 reb, 11 ast Play-In | 4 GP, 14.0 PPG, 2.8 RPG, 6.0 APG |
| Tyson Walker | 2021-24 | EuroCup | Cosea JL Bourg-en-Bresse | 2 | 29.9 | 14.5 | 2.5 | 3.0 | 11-10 9 pts, 3 reb, 3 ast | 1 GP, 9.0 PPG, 3.0 RPG, 3.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Draymond Green | NBA | Golden State Warriors | @ San Antonio Spurs | 16 | 4 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Miles Bridges | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs Charlotte Hornets | 25 | 11 | 6 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | Max Christie | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | @ Minnesota Timberwolves | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-12 | A.J. Hoggard | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 33 | 29 | 7 | 11 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Marcus Bingham Jr. | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Paris Basketball | 24 | 14 | 6 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Jase Richardson | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Utah Jazz | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | Draymond Green | NBA | Golden State Warriors | @ Houston Rockets | 27 | 7 | 5 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-11 | A.J. Hoggard | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | vs Greensboro Swarm | 20 | 3 | 2 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Tyson Walker | EuroCup | Cosea JL Bourg-en-Bresse | vs Buducnost VOLI Podgorica | 25 | 9 | 3 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Miles Bridges | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs LA Clippers | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Jase Richardson | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Sacramento Kings | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Miles Bridges | NBA | Phoenix Suns | vs San Antonio Spurs | 26 | 7 | 5 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Max Christie | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Indiana Pacers | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Draymond Green | NBA | Golden State Warriors | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 21 | 2 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Max Christie | NBA | Dallas Mavericks | vs Brooklyn Nets | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Jaden Akins | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 30 | 16 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | A.J. Hoggard | G League Play-In | Raptors 905 | @ College Park Skyhawks | 17 | 9 | 1 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Jase Richardson | NBA | Orlando Magic | @ Golden State Warriors | 30 | 2 | 4 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Jaden Akins | G League Play-In | Westchester Knicks | @ Maine Celtics | 32 | 17 | 1 | 7 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Marcus Bingham Jr. | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | vs Kosner Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz | 22 | 9 | 9 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-29 | Marcus Bingham Jr. | EuroLeague | Fenerbahce Tarfin Istanbul | @ Real Madrid | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-27 | Jaden Akins | NBA | New York Knicks | vs Detroit Pistons | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-26 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Memphis Grizzlies | 10 | 6 | 3 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-10-25 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs Los Angeles Lakers | 33 | 20 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-10-23 | Jaren Jackson Jr. | NBA | Utah Jazz | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 33 | 24 | 10 | 3 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
233 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jasiah JervisJeremy Fears Jr.Jordan ScottCoen CarrCarlos Medlock Jr.Kur TengAnton BonkeCameron WardEthan TaylorBrennan Walton
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 45-59 | 76.3 | 90 | Anton Bonke 16% (14 pts) | Cameron Ward 13% (12 pts) | Cameron Ward 21% (3 misses) | Anton Bonke 14% (2 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 23-49 | 46.9 | 46 | Coen Carr 30% (14 pts) | Jeremy Fears Jr. 22% (10 pts) | Coen Carr 23% (6 misses) | Jordan Scott 15% (4 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 2-5 | 40.0 | 4 | Ethan Taylor 50% (2 pts) | Kur Teng 50% (2 pts) | Ethan Taylor 33% (1 misses) | Jordan Scott 33% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-9 | 22.2 | 4 | Carlos Medlock Jr. 50% (2 pts) | Jasiah Jervis 50% (2 pts) | Jordan Scott 43% (3 misses) | Jasiah Jervis 29% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-7 | 28.6 | 4 | Jasiah Jervis 50% (2 pts) | Jeremy Fears Jr. 50% (2 pts) | Carlos Medlock Jr. 60% (3 misses) | Kur Teng 40% (2 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-14 | 35.7 | 15 | Jordan Scott 40% (6 pts) | Carlos Medlock Jr. 20% (3 pts) | Jordan Scott 22% (2 misses) | Kur Teng 22% (2 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 7-11 | 63.6 | 21 | Jasiah Jervis 43% (9 pts) | Jordan Scott 29% (6 pts) | Brennan Walton 25% (1 misses) | Jasiah Jervis 25% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 12-30 | 40.0 | 36 | Jasiah Jervis 25% (9 pts) | Jordan Scott 17% (6 pts) | Jordan Scott 33% (6 misses) | Jasiah Jervis 17% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 8-16 | 50.0 | 24 | Jeremy Fears Jr. 50% (12 pts) | Carlos Medlock Jr. 25% (6 pts) | Jeremy Fears Jr. 50% (4 misses) | Jasiah Jervis 25% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 12-33 | 36.4 | 36 | Jasiah Jervis 42% (15 pts) | Kur Teng 25% (9 pts) | Kur Teng 24% (5 misses) | Carlos Medlock Jr. 14% (3 misses) |