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Michigan State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Michigan State Spartans, Michigan State
Program History
Coach: Tom Izzo

2026 Team Stats (35 games)

78.8
PPG
68.3
Opp
+10.5
Margin
47.2%
FG%
36.3%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
39.7
RPG
18.6
APG
11.6
TO
79.2
Pace
84.0
AdjO
61.8
AdjD
#11
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1343 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1335 (#12) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1121 (#39) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +22.3 (#11) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +33.8 (#12) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.837 (#18) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +27.0 More → 0.956 (#22) NetEff +27.0
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +30.2 More → 0.971 (#11) AdjNet +30.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +30.6 More → 0.971 (#11) AdjNet +30.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 61.8 More → 0.883 (#11) AdjO 84.0 | AdjD 61.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 66.7 More → 0.780 (#14) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 66.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.958 (#12) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.943 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 97 | GP 35 More → 1349 (#13) RD 97 | GP 35

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Colgate Raiders W 80 - 69
2025-11-08 vs Arkansas Razorbacks W 69 - 66
2025-11-13 vs San José State Spartans W 79 - 60
2025-11-18 @ Kentucky Wildcats W 83 - 66
2025-11-21 vs Detroit Mercy Titans W 84 - 56
2025-11-25 @ East Carolina Pirates W 89 - 56
2025-11-27 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 74 - 58
2025-12-02 vs Iowa Hawkeyes W 71 - 52
2025-12-06 vs Duke Blue Devils L 60 - 66
2025-12-13 @ Penn State Nittany Lions W 76 - 72
2025-12-16 vs Toledo Rockets W 92 - 69
2025-12-20 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies W 79 - 70
2025-12-29 vs Cornell Big Red W 114 - 97
2026-01-02 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 56 - 58
2026-01-05 vs USC Trojans W 80 - 51
2026-01-08 vs Northwestern Wildcats W 76 - 66
2026-01-13 vs Indiana Hoosiers W 81 - 60
2026-01-17 @ Washington Huskies W 80 - 63
2026-01-20 @ Oregon Ducks W 68 - 52
2026-01-24 vs Maryland Terrapins W 91 - 48
2026-01-27 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 88 - 79
2026-01-30 vs Michigan Wolverines L 71 - 83
2026-02-04 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 73 - 76
2026-02-07 vs Illinois Fighting Illini W 85 - 82
2026-02-13 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 71 - 92
2026-02-17 vs UCLA Bruins W 82 - 59
2026-02-22 vs Ohio State Buckeyes W 66 - 60
2026-02-26 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 76 - 74
2026-03-01 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 77 - 64
2026-03-05 vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights W 91 - 87
2026-03-08 @ Michigan Wolverines L 80 - 90
2026-03-13 vs UCLA Bruins L 84 - 88
2026-03-19 vs North Dakota State Bison W 92 - 67
2026-03-21 vs Louisville Cardinals W 77 - 69
2026-03-27 @ UConn Huskies L 63 - 67

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Fears Jr. J. Fears Jr. G 35 32.4 15.2 2.4 9.4 1.3 0.0 2.5 10.4 15.5 278 11.6 17.6 43.1 32.1 88.5 2.33 58.5 47.9
J. Kohler J. Kohler F 35 27.7 12.5 8.9 1.3 0.6 0.7 1.4 9.4 13.3 277 11.5 25.7 50.0 38.9 86.9 2.07 61.9 58.8
C. Carr C. Carr F 35 29.3 12.0 5.4 1.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 8.5 10.0 232 10.5 16.2 51.8 27.6 62.9 2.02 58.2 55.4
C. Cooper C. Cooper C 35 26.7 11.1 7.1 1.5 0.6 1.0 1.5 6.6 13.0 174 7.9 16.4 58.4 40.0 78.8 0.92 65.5 58.9
K. Teng K. Teng G 35 17.5 7.3 2.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.8 6.9 3.0 209 9.5 25.1 37.9 38.1 81.0 1.86 51.2 49.6
Jordan Scott Jordan Scott - 35 20.8 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.9 4.7 5.7 156 7.1 17.8 41.1 37.0 70.2 1.6 55.5 52.5
D. Ugochukwu D. Ugochukwu G 22 16.0 5.1 1.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.7 3.8 4.3 96 4.6 12.1 50.6 44.2 55.6 0.82 62.1 62.0
Cameron Ward Cameron Ward - 34 15.3 5.1 4.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.9 3.6 5.9 117 5.6 16.9 58.9 0.0 51.0 1.15 58.7 58.9
T. Fort T. Fort G 33 10.2 4.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.6 4.0 1.9 18 0.8 3.2 35.1 34.5 88.9 -0.14 49.3 46.2
J. McCulloch J. McCulloch - 28 7.4 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.7 2.5 11 0.5 2.7 47.9 50.0 92.9 0.02 62.8 57.3
D. Wojcik D. Wojcik - 31 5.4 0.5 0.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.7 1.0 12 0.7 4.9 28.6 0.0 50.0 0.33 31.7 28.6
N. Sanders N. Sanders G 14 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 -11 -1.0 -27.9 33.3 50.0 0 -0.06 50.0 50.0
B. Walton B. Walton - 12 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 -11 -1.1 -41.1 50.0 50.0 0 -0.06 62.5 62.5
C. Walton C. Walton - 12 1.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 -11 -1.1 -41.1 100.0 100.0 0 -0.06 150.0 150.0
K. Glenn K. Glenn F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG