Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.7% | 33.3% | -3.9 | ✓ (28.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.7% | 0.3% | -31.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 94.6% | 5.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 89.2% | 10.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -32 (100-132). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amen Thompson * | 33 | 10-16 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | - |
| Kevin Durant * | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Tari Eason * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 29 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Fred VanVleet * | 29 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Reed Sheppard | 23 | 2-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Clint Capela | 21 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Bogdan Bogdanović | 15 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Oscar Tshiebwe | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Bruce Thornton | 3 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 27 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | - |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. * | 27 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Myles Turner * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Kuzma * | 17 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Rollins * | 17 | 2-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| AJ Green | 24 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Nate Ament | 19 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brayden Burries | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kel'el Ware | 16 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Ousmane Dieng | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jericho Sims | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Gary Trent Jr. | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Bogoljub Marković | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter