Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +1.2 | ✗ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -24 (111-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker * | 26 | 7-12 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Jalen Johnson * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 9-11 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Dyson Daniels * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| CJ McCollum * | 21 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Luguentz Dort | 22 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kingston Flemings | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Jock Landale | 21 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Aaron Wiggins | 21 | 6-13 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Corey Kispert | 8 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Asa Newell | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| RayJ Dennis | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Zuby Ejiofor | 6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Keshon Gilbert | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Flagg * | 29 | 8-20 | 2-6 | 8-9 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 23 | - |
| P.J. Washington * | 27 | 3-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Zaccharie Risacher * | 26 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Kyrie Irving * | 24 | 6-12 | 5-7 | 1-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Daniel Gafford * | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Sergio de Larrea | 25 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Naji Marshall | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Caleb Martin | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Morez Johnson Jr. | 14 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Marcus Sasser | 11 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Tobi Lawal | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Dwight Powell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Moussa Cisse | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Seth Lundy | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| John Poulakidas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter