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2026-11-10

Model Predictions

Model Wright State Raiders Toledo Rockets Spread Projected
Elo
2026-27 ratings to date
40.8% (#111) 59.2% (#121) Toledo Rockets -0.7 75-75
Bradley-Terry
2026-27 ratings to date
42.6% (#127) 57.4% (#126) - -
Margin
2026-27 ratings to date
24.8% (#69) 75.2% (#125) Toledo Rockets -6.1 -
Pythagorean
2026-27 ratings to date
66.6% (#83) 33.4% (#202) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2026-27 ratings to date
95.1% (#73) 4.9% (#160) - -
Log Adjusted
2026-27 ratings to date
95.1% (#73) 4.9% (#160) - -
Points Off/Def
2026-27 ratings to date
55.6% (#98) 44.4% (#128) - -

2026-27 ratings to date: Spread: 4.6 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.3-point home edge (2025-26 margin fit); projected score: 2025-26's average total of 150 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Wright State Raiders Toledo Rockets
Games 2 3
PPG 99.5 70.7
FG% 58.2% 39.3%
3PT% 39.5% 22.2%
FT% 83.3% 61.1%
RPG 40.0 38.3
APG 17.5 15.7
SPG 7.5 9.3
BPG 6.5 2.7
TOPG 12.0 11.0

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Wright State Raiders Toledo Rockets
Adj. Off Eff 110.0 96.8
Adj. Def Eff 90.0 103.2
Adj. Net Eff 20.0 -6.3

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Wright State Raiders Top Players

No player data available

Toledo Rockets Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Mynor Strong 16.3 2.3 2.7 4.3 0.3 33.0
Sean Jones 8.0 2.7 6.0 1.0 0.3 29.3
Jaylan Ouwinga 12.3 7.3 1.0 1.3 0.3 29.0
Angel Montas Jr. 14.7 6.3 2.0 1.3 0.3 25.7
Chris Riddle 2.7 2.3 1.7 0.0 0.3 18.0