Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Marshall Thundering Herd | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | -7.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marshall Thundering Herd -5 (76-81). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mynor Strong * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 21 | - |
| Sean Jones * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | +14.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 32 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +4.7 |
| Austin Parks * | 24 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Will James Jr. * | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Angel Montas Jr. | 25 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +8.3 |
| Rich Barron | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Chris Riddle | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Jaylohn Allen | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Rashaun Porter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.1 |
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Slay * | 39 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Noah Otshudi * | 29 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Emmanuel Manyuon * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Khaman Maker * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | -11.4 |
| Colt Langdon * | 18 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5 | +0.5 |
| Fazl Oshodi | 18 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Luke Rasmussen | 17 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9.1 |
| Erich Harding | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 14 | +8.3 |
| DeMarco Johnson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.5 |
| Boubacar Djigo | 9 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Alex Charlotin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.7 |
* = starter