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Tennessee State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2020 2018 2017 2016 2015
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Brian Collins

2026 Team Stats (32 games)

80.6
PPG
74.6
Opp
+6.0
Margin
45.9%
FG%
32.9%
3P%
76.4%
FT%
37.8
RPG
13.2
APG
12.5
TO
85.0
Pace
76.5
AdjO
79.9
AdjD
#211
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1188 (#48) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1048 (#129) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1135 (#30) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -2.9 (#208) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.9 (#156) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.606 (#107) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -12.7 More → 0.212 (#274) NetEff -12.7
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.406 (#202) AdjNet -3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.3 More → 0.404 (#202) AdjNet -3.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 79.9 More → 0.424 (#211) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 79.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.667 (#57) AdjO 80.7 | AdjD 73.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.810 (#119) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.795 (#99) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 119 | GP 32 More → 1190 (#69) RD 119 | GP 32

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 101 - 50
2025-11-08 @ Belmont Bruins L 79 - 87
2025-11-11 vs Oakwood Ambassadors W 114 - 76
2025-11-16 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 82 - 95
2025-11-20 @ Tennessee Volunteers L 60 - 89
2025-11-25 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 75 - 73
2025-11-29 vs Tennessee Wesleyan Bulldogs W 98 - 77
2025-11-30 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 70 - 64
2025-12-03 @ Alabama A&M Bulldogs L 53 - 80
2025-12-13 @ UNLV Rebels W 63 - 60
2025-12-18 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 78 - 71
2025-12-20 vs Southeast Missouri State Redhawks L 82 - 91
2025-12-30 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles W 88 - 76
2026-01-03 @ Little Rock Trojans W 84 - 79
2026-01-08 @ Western Illinois Leathernecks W 90 - 68
2026-01-10 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers L 70 - 74
2026-01-15 vs Morehead State Eagles W 105 - 100
2026-01-22 @ SIU Edwardsville Cougars L 66 - 74
2026-01-24 @ Lindenwood Lions W 96 - 86
2026-01-27 vs Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 85 - 90
2026-01-29 vs Little Rock Trojans W 70 - 63
2026-02-05 vs Eastern Illinois Panthers W 77 - 68
2026-02-07 vs Western Illinois Leathernecks W 83 - 56
2026-02-12 @ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles W 73 - 71
2026-02-14 @ Morehead State Eagles L 86 - 94
2026-02-19 vs Lindenwood Lions W 89 - 80
2026-02-21 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 80 - 53
2026-02-26 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 79 - 71
2026-02-28 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 67 - 42
2026-03-06 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 68 - 55
2026-03-07 vs Morehead State Eagles W 93 - 67
2026-03-20 @ Iowa State Cyclones L 74 - 108

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A. Nkrumah A. Nkrumah G 32 31.2 17.4 5.3 3.0 2.8 0.5 2.4 13.4 13.2 87 3.8 6.3 43.4 33.8 79.1 -0.26 55.3 49.2
T. Harper II T. Harper II - 32 31.2 17.4 4.2 1.2 1.1 0.4 1.6 12.0 10.7 100 4.8 7.1 47.5 39.8 85.5 0.11 63.1 58.0
D. Harris D. Harris - 32 32.3 11.7 3.7 4.6 1.7 0.0 2.0 10.5 9.2 88 4.2 6.0 41.5 30.0 73.0 0.38 48.7 43.7
A. Lorick III A. Lorick III F 32 21.1 9.6 5.0 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.5 7.0 9.6 22 1.0 2.4 52.0 24.3 66.3 -0.08 57.6 54.0
K. London K. London - 23 15.4 6.6 1.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 1.3 6.5 2.1 11 0.6 1.8 34.7 24.3 75.0 -0.82 45.0 40.3
J. Pitre J. Pitre - 32 24.2 6.4 6.6 0.9 1.1 0.5 1.1 3.9 10.5 95 4.5 9.1 61.9 20.0 83.9 0.12 67.7 62.3
Ca. Williams Ca. Williams F 31 19.6 5.7 3.1 0.5 0.2 0.6 1.1 4.8 4.3 75 3.8 9.7 46.0 33.3 75.0 -0.89 54.2 51.7
Jabrion Spikes Jabrion Spikes - 30 10.7 3.0 1.3 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.6 2.5 2.2 -11 -0.6 -3.5 51.4 25.0 69.2 -0.43 56.4 54.7
K. Jones K. Jones - 29 10.7 2.7 2.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 2.1 3.2 29 1.4 6.0 59.0 50.0 44.4 0.08 60.0 60.7
J. Jones J. Jones - 4 3.2 1.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 -5 -0.4 -68.2 37.5 0.0 100.0 -0.06 41.5 37.5
D. Howard Jr. D. Howard Jr. - 21 7.3 1.7 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.3 2.1 1.1 -43 -3.1 -11.8 26.7 25.0 77.8 1.14 36.8 32.2
J. Brooks J. Brooks F 19 7.6 1.6 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.3 8 0.7 5.5 43.5 28.6 60.0 -0.24 52.4 47.8
Jean Yvens Lafleur Jean Yvens Lafleur - 2 6.0 1.0 2.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 -6 -3.0 -19.4 50.0 0 0 -0.07 50.0 50.0
A. Garcia A. Garcia - 10 2.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 -0.1 10 2.0 114.3 37.5 16.7 0 -0.06 43.8 43.8
M. Bodenhamer M. Bodenhamer G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
O. Ayo O. Ayo F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG