Model Predictions
| Model | Western Illinois Leathernecks | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.1% | 97.9% | +21.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 8.2% | 91.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +27 (83-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Illinois Leathernecks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Lorenzen | 33 | 8-18 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| G. Biliew | 29 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Kvamme | 28 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| I. Griffin | 22 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| F. Okwuosah | 22 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Massey | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Cook | 19 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| M. Pigram | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Danny Stephens | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Tipton | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Hittle | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Edwards | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pitre | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| A. Nkrumah | 25 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Harper II | 23 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| D. Harris | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Lorick III | 20 | 7-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - |
| D. Howard Jr. | 18 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Brooks | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ca. Williams | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Spikes | 14 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 9 | - |
| K. London | 14 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Garcia | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Jones | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter