Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.2% | 49.8% | -0.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris * | 38 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 14 | +7.8 |
| A. Nkrumah * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 16 | +6.6 |
| J. Pitre * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Ca. Williams * | 23 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | +3.6 |
| J. Brooks * | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| T. Harper II | 27 | 4-12 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | -1.6 |
| J. Spikes | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +5.1 |
| A. Lorick III | 16 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | +5.2 |
| K. Jones | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | +7.3 |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick * | 38 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | -7.2 |
| K. Taylor * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 18 | -5.6 |
| J. Wright * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 9 | -5.5 |
| T. Solomon * | 30 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 16 | +3.3 |
| D. Thomas * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.4 |
| M. Mayfield | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -10.7 |
| J. Clarke | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| S. Tolentino | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| C. Jones | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.9 |
* = starter