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Tennessee State

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tennessee State Tigers
Program History
Coach: Brian Collins

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

67.7
PPG
83.3
Opp
-15.7
Margin
42.2%
FG%
31.6%
3P%
55.9%
FT%
33.3
RPG
12.7
APG
15.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.3
Adj PPG
66.8
Adj Opp PPG
#188
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1049 (#145) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1058 (#131) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1069 (#80) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -1.7 (#195) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → +1.3 (#156) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.465 (#181) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.5 More → 0.400 (#197) AdjNet -3.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.6 More → 0.396 (#198) AdjNet -3.6
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.8 More → 0.467 (#188) AdjO 65.3 | AdjD 66.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.3 More → 0.545 (#124) AdjO 66.3 | AdjD 64.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.534 (#155) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.550 (#141) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 126 | GP 30 More → 1053 (#136) RD 126 | GP 30

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 37 - 71
2011-11-14 @ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers L 49 - 52
2011-11-16 vs Fisk Bulldogs W 81 - 57
2011-11-20 @ South Carolina Gamecocks W 64 - 63
2011-11-22 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 69 - 102
2011-11-25 vs Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils L 89 - 90
2011-11-26 vs Morgan State Bears W 69 - 64
2011-12-01 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 62 - 77
2011-12-06 @ Belmont Bruins L 62 - 75
2011-12-10 vs Central Michigan Chippewas W 65 - 57
2011-12-17 @ Delaware State Hornets W 59 - 55
2011-12-19 vs Le Moyne-Owen Magicians W 92 - 55
2011-12-21 vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs W 78 - 68
2011-12-29 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 83 - 67
2011-12-31 @ Eastern Kentucky Colonels L 68 - 73
2012-01-05 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 86 - 92
2012-01-07 @ Jacksonville State Gamecocks L 65 - 72
2012-01-11 vs Morehead State Eagles W 77 - 72
2012-01-14 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 52 - 49
2012-01-16 @ Austin Peay Governors L 63 - 69
2012-01-19 @ Eastern Illinois Panthers W 55 - 46
2012-01-26 @ UT Martin Skyhawks W 72 - 59
2012-01-28 vs Eastern Kentucky Colonels W 91 - 85
2012-01-30 vs Austin Peay Governors W 77 - 57
2012-02-04 @ Southeast Missouri State Redhawks W 75 - 72
2012-02-09 @ Murray State Racers W 72 - 68
2012-02-14 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 69 - 64
2012-02-19 @ Miami (OH) Redhawks W 68 - 61
2012-02-23 vs Murray State Racers L 62 - 80
2012-03-02 vs Morehead State Eagles W 59 - 52
2012-03-03 @ Murray State Racers L 52 - 54
2012-03-13 @ Mercer Bears L 60 - 68

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Robert Covington Robert Covington F 32 31.3 17.9 8.1 1.3 1.6 1.3 2.4 3.9 24.0 103 21 4.9 6.3 53.2 42.3 72.7 7.62 199.8 62.1
Patrick Miller Patrick Miller G 32 33.6 10.9 3.5 3.5 1.5 0.2 2.4 2.8 14.5 -12 21 -0.6 -0.7 43.2 33.3 75.0 -4.09 168.0 45.5
Kellen Thornton Kellen Thornton F 32 20.8 8.8 4.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 1.1 1.9 11.3 -3 20 -0.1 -0.3 54.1 42.9 48.1 -2.84 192.1 56.6
Jordan Cyphers Jordan Cyphers G 30 19.3 8.0 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.3 1.4 1.7 8.1 49 19 2.6 5.8 41.2 27.3 68.8 3.39 207.6 47.1
Wil Peters Wil Peters G 32 33.9 7.4 2.9 3.6 1.2 0.2 2.5 2.1 10.8 47 21 2.2 2.8 35.8 29.4 68.4 1.83 157.2 43.3
Kenny Moore Kenny Moore F 25 19.3 7.1 2.9 1.3 0.9 0.2 1.3 1.8 9.1 31 17 1.8 3.8 45.7 44.4 76.2 -1.2 160.2 54.3
M.J. Rhett M.J. Rhett F 32 17.5 3.9 4.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.3 7.4 -46 21 -2.2 -5.3 47.6 0 54.5 -4.18 133.4 47.6
D. Dockery D. Dockery G 2 40.5 3.5 4.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 1.5 3.0 6.0 - - - - 16.7 0 83.3 - 40.5 16.7
Kharon Butcher Kharon Butcher G 24 11.6 2.3 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.0 0.8 0.4 3.6 -46 13 -3.5 -13.4 30.0 33.3 75.0 -4.96 233.8 45.0
Jay Harris Jay Harris G 29 12.0 2.2 0.8 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.4 1.1 1.8 -38 18 -2.1 -7.1 25.0 29.4 76.9 -5.64 84.8 32.8
T. Ward T. Ward - 2 21.0 2.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 3.0 - - - - 33.3 0.0 100.0 - 51.5 33.3
Michael Green Michael Green F 26 7.2 1.5 1.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 2.5 -26 15 -1.7 -13.9 60.0 0.0 100.0 -3.08 182.0 60.0
Chris Conner Chris Conner F 19 7.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.8 1.1 -23 12 -1.9 -14.9 26.7 30.0 50.0 -2.9 72.4 36.7
Tashon Fredrick Tashon Fredrick G 22 6.7 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.0 -38 12 -3.2 -22.5 33.3 0.0 100.0 -5.78 111.6 33.3
M. Bawa M. Bawa C 14 4.6 0.4 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 2 7 0.3 5.2 0.0 0.0 0 -0.75 100.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG