Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✗ (18.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Covington * | 38 | 6-12 | 3-5 | 2-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Patrick Miller * | 35 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 35 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 11 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 26 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 19 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Chris Conner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 36 | 10-13 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 30 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Edward Daniel * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 25 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Garrett | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter