Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | -4.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +6 (69-63). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 39 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 37 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 36 | 10-17 | 4-7 | 6-7 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 25 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 20 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Michael Green | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tashan Fredrick | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Terry * | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Melvin Baker * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| TyShwan Edmondson * | 29 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 8 | - |
| John Fraley * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jerome Clyburn * | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Herdie Lawrence | 18 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Will Triggs | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Justin Blake | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Thomas Greer | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Chris Freeman | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter