Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.3% | 37.7% | -4.3 | ✗ (11.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.4% | 58.6% | +1.9 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks +7 (72-65). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers * | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 1 | - |
| Kellen Thornton * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jay Harris | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| M.J. Rhett | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Chris Conner | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Tashan Fredrick | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Michael Green | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Williams * | 37 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Stephen Hall * | 31 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Ronnie Boggs * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Nick Cook * | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Darion Rackley * | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Grant White | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Dion Waiters | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Tarvin Gaines | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Rinaldo Mafra | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter