Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.1% | 88.9% | +13.3 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.4% | 93.6% | +14.7 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +2 (54-52). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 23 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Cyphers | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Michael Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Canaan * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Donte Poole * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Ivan Aska * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Jewuan Long * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | - |
| Ed Daniel * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Latreze Mushatt | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Zay Jackson | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Brandon Garrett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Stacy Wilson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter