Model Predictions
| Model | Tennessee State Tigers | Eastern Illinois Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | -9.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Illinois Panthers -9 (46-55). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Miller * | 38 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Wil Peters * | 35 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Robert Covington * | 33 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Jay Harris * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M.J. Rhett * | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Kellen Thornton | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Kenny Moore | 22 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Chris Conner | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kharon Butcher | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Eastern Illinois Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller * | 35 | 7-18 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Jeremy Granger * | 34 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L.C. Doss * | 25 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 | - |
| Zavier Sanders * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Alfonzo McKinnie * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Josh Piper | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| James Hollowell | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Taylor Jones | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Austin Akers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Nick McFarlin | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Malcolm Herron | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter