Siena Saints
2026 Team Stats (30 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 915 (#216) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 874 (#265) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 999 (#180) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -11.1 (#284) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -8.6 (#264) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.515 (#164) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More โ | 0.515 (#164) | NetEff +0.4 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.110 (#294) | AdjNet -18.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.103 (#295) | AdjNet -18.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.298 (#274) | AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 71.6 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.426 (#228) | AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 67.3 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.281 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.304 (#257) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 899 (#240) | RD 147 | GP 30 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Francesca Schiro
|
G | 24 | 31.1 | 17.1 | 4.6 | 3.5 | 1.9 | 0.3 | 2.8 | 12.8 | 11.8 | -65 | 20 | -3.2 | -8.3 | 44.3 | 30.9 | 80.0 | -2.56 | 55.9 | 49.2 |
Nicole Melious
|
G | 30 | 31.3 | 10.7 | 4.2 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 10.3 | 5.9 | -122 | 25 | -4.9 | -13.2 | 36.8 | 29.6 | 88.6 | -5.27 | 48.9 | 45.6 |
Genevive Wedemeyer
|
G | 20 | 28.9 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 2.1 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 2.9 | 8.0 | 5.5 | -63 | 16 | -3.9 | -11.6 | 35.6 | 27.9 | 77.8 | -2.96 | 48.5 | 41.6 |
K. Tucker
|
G | 28 | 21.3 | 8.1 | 8.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.9 | 7.4 | 11.0 | - | - | - | - | 44.7 | 20.0 | 71.4 | - | 48.8 | 45.0 |
Caydence Hadley
|
G | 30 | 22.0 | 7.2 | 4.8 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 7.1 | 5.2 | -59 | 25 | -2.4 | -7.6 | 39.0 | 17.1 | 77.2 | -1.34 | 45.4 | 40.4 |
Valencia Fontenelle-Posson
|
G | 22 | 18.0 | 6.2 | 3.5 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | 3.6 | -30 | 17 | -1.8 | -7.0 | 29.4 | 17.2 | 80.8 | -1.67 | 41.3 | 33.2 |
Alden Yergey
|
G | 27 | 20.1 | 4.7 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 1.9 | 5.5 | 1.1 | -35 | 22 | -1.6 | -6.2 | 35.8 | 19.3 | 84.6 | -0.38 | 41.6 | 39.5 |
J. Turner
|
G | 27 | 12.6 | 4.2 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.8 | 1.3 | -27 | 21 | -1.3 | -6.3 | 28.7 | 22.0 | 62.9 | -2.08 | 39.5 | 35.7 |
Zyriah Price
|
G | 7 | 12.6 | 4.1 | 2.6 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 1.6 | 4.9 | 1.7 | -16 | 5 | -3.2 | -13.9 | 38.2 | 50.0 | 50.0 | -2.97 | 40.5 | 39.7 |
Garrisen Freeman
|
G | 26 | 18.7 | 2.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 3.1 | 3.7 | -22 | 21 | -1.0 | -3.2 | 30.9 | 21.4 | 42.9 | 1.19 | 35.7 | 32.7 |
Olivia Watkins
|
G | 27 | 9.9 | 2.1 | 1.7 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.4 | -31 | 23 | -1.3 | -7.8 | 45.5 | 0.0 | 69.2 | -1.77 | 52.3 | 45.5 |
Azera Gates
|
G | 16 | 7.4 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.9 | -15 | 11 | -1.4 | -9.2 | 38.7 | 0.0 | 27.3 | -2.45 | 37.7 | 38.7 |
Dallas Pierce
|
G | 25 | 8.1 | 1.6 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 1.8 | 0.8 | -58 | 21 | -2.8 | -17.7 | 34.1 | 33.3 | 62.5 | -4.58 | 43.1 | 40.9 |
Alexis Rosenfeld
|
G | 15 | 4.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.7 | -7 | 13 | -0.5 | -6.3 | 60.0 | 0 | 0 | -1.84 | 60.0 | 60.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2025-2026 Shot Zones
1862 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Francesca SchiroNicole MeliousK. TuckerCaydence HadleyGenevive WedemeyerAlden Yergey
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 305-555 | 55.0 | 610 | Francesca Schiro 19% (116 pts) | K. Tucker 19% (114 pts) | K. Tucker 20% (51 misses) | Francesca Schiro 17% (43 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 143-364 | 39.3 | 286 | Francesca Schiro 23% (66 pts) | K. Tucker 18% (52 pts) | Francesca Schiro 16% (36 misses) | Caydence Hadley 14% (32 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 36-118 | 30.5 | 72 | Alden Yergey 19% (14 pts) | Caydence Hadley 19% (14 pts) | Caydence Hadley 18% (15 misses) | K. Tucker 15% (12 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 18-48 | 37.5 | 36 | Caydence Hadley 22% (8 pts) | Alden Yergey 17% (6 pts) | Francesca Schiro 27% (8 misses) | Nicole Melious 20% (6 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 43-143 | 30.1 | 86 | Caydence Hadley 33% (28 pts) | Alden Yergey 19% (16 pts) | Caydence Hadley 21% (21 misses) | Genevive Wedemeyer 16% (16 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 16-65 | 24.6 | 48 | Genevive Wedemeyer 31% (15 pts) | Nicole Melious 31% (15 pts) | Nicole Melious 22% (11 misses) | Alden Yergey 20% (10 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 13-44 | 29.5 | 39 | Nicole Melious 31% (12 pts) | Francesca Schiro 23% (9 pts) | Nicole Melious 29% (9 misses) | Francesca Schiro 19% (6 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 59-221 | 26.7 | 177 | Nicole Melious 39% (69 pts) | Francesca Schiro 20% (36 pts) | Nicole Melious 21% (34 misses) | Francesca Schiro 16% (26 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 26-103 | 25.2 | 78 | Francesca Schiro 31% (24 pts) | Nicole Melious 15% (12 pts) | Nicole Melious 34% (26 misses) | J. Turner 16% (12 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 47-201 | 23.4 | 141 | Nicole Melious 40% (57 pts) | Francesca Schiro 15% (21 pts) | Nicole Melious 32% (50 misses) | Francesca Schiro 14% (21 misses) |