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Siena Saints

Also known as: Siena Saints
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

65.8
PPG
65.5
Opp
+0.3
Margin
37.9%
FG%
25.4%
3P%
73.4%
FT%
41.0
RPG
13.5
APG
18.5
TO
73.2
Est. poss./game
62.2
Adj PPG
71.6
Adj Opp PPG
#274
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 915 (#216) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 874 (#265) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 999 (#180) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -11.1 (#284) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -8.6 (#264) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.515 (#164) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +0.4 More โ†’ 0.515 (#164) NetEff +0.4
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.1 More โ†’ 0.110 (#294) AdjNet -18.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.7 More โ†’ 0.103 (#295) AdjNet -18.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 71.6 More โ†’ 0.298 (#274) AdjO 62.2 | AdjD 71.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.426 (#228) AdjO 64.0 | AdjD 67.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.281 (#268) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.304 (#257) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 30 More โ†’ 899 (#240) RD 147 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Colgate Raiders L 43 - 53
2025-11-08 @ Massachusetts Minutewomen L 73 - 84
2025-11-13 @ Army Black Knights L 52 - 67
2025-11-16 vs Dartmouth Big Green L 55 - 65
2025-11-19 @ UAlbany Great Danes L 42 - 67
2025-11-24 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 61 - 67
2025-11-26 @ Cornell Big Red L 47 - 49
2025-12-03 vs New Haven Chargers W 80 - 54
2025-12-15 vs Central Connecticut Blue Devils W 94 - 56
2025-12-19 @ Niagara Purple Eagles W 107 - 69
2025-12-21 @ Canisius Golden Griffins W 73 - 56
2026-01-01 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 69 - 59
2026-01-03 @ Iona Gaels W 94 - 80
2026-01-08 vs Rider Broncs L 59 - 61
2026-01-10 vs Merrimack Warriors L 65 - 82
2026-01-14 @ Sacred Heart Pioneers L 58 - 70
2026-01-17 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 74 - 47
2026-01-19 @ Fairfield Stags L 50 - 86
2026-01-22 @ Marist Red Foxes L 72 - 75
2026-01-29 vs Niagara Purple Eagles W 84 - 64
2026-01-31 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 69 - 65
2026-02-05 @ Saint Peter's Peacocks W 75 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Manhattan Jaspers - Preview
2026-02-08 @ Manhattan Jaspers W 91 - 72
2026-02-12 @ Quinnipiac Bobcats L 40 - 62
2026-02-14 @ Merrimack Warriors L 60 - 79
2026-02-19 vs Iona Gaels L 52 - 61
2026-02-21 vs Fairfield Stags L 51 - 81
2026-02-26 @ Rider Broncs W 67 - 55
2026-02-28 vs Marist Red Foxes W 67 - 57
2026-03-07 @ Iona Gaels L 50 - 59

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Francesca Schiro Francesca Schiro G 24 31.1 17.1 4.6 3.5 1.9 0.3 2.8 12.8 11.8 -65 20 -3.2 -8.3 44.3 30.9 80.0 -2.56 55.9 49.2
Nicole Melious Nicole Melious G 30 31.3 10.7 4.2 2.1 1.1 0.1 2.1 10.3 5.9 -122 25 -4.9 -13.2 36.8 29.6 88.6 -5.27 48.9 45.6
Genevive Wedemeyer Genevive Wedemeyer G 20 28.9 9.1 3.9 2.1 1.1 0.1 2.9 8.0 5.5 -63 16 -3.9 -11.6 35.6 27.9 77.8 -2.96 48.5 41.6
K. Tucker K. Tucker G 28 21.3 8.1 8.2 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.9 7.4 11.0 - - - - 44.7 20.0 71.4 - 48.8 45.0
Caydence Hadley Caydence Hadley G 30 22.0 7.2 4.8 1.3 0.8 0.4 2.2 7.1 5.2 -59 25 -2.4 -7.6 39.0 17.1 77.2 -1.34 45.4 40.4
Valencia Fontenelle-Posson Valencia Fontenelle-Posson G 22 18.0 6.2 3.5 1.3 1.0 0.0 2.0 6.5 3.6 -30 17 -1.8 -7.0 29.4 17.2 80.8 -1.67 41.3 33.2
Alden Yergey Alden Yergey G 27 20.1 4.7 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.1 1.9 5.5 1.1 -35 22 -1.6 -6.2 35.8 19.3 84.6 -0.38 41.6 39.5
J. Turner J. Turner G 27 12.6 4.2 1.5 0.7 0.8 0.0 1.2 4.8 1.3 -27 21 -1.3 -6.3 28.7 22.0 62.9 -2.08 39.5 35.7
Zyriah Price Zyriah Price G 7 12.6 4.1 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.6 4.9 1.7 -16 5 -3.2 -13.9 38.2 50.0 50.0 -2.97 40.5 39.7
Garrisen Freeman Garrisen Freeman G 26 18.7 2.7 3.2 1.0 0.6 0.4 1.2 3.1 3.7 -22 21 -1.0 -3.2 30.9 21.4 42.9 1.19 35.7 32.7
Olivia Watkins Olivia Watkins G 27 9.9 2.1 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.8 1.6 2.4 -31 23 -1.3 -7.8 45.5 0.0 69.2 -1.77 52.3 45.5
Azera Gates Azera Gates G 16 7.4 1.7 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.7 1.9 0.9 -15 11 -1.4 -9.2 38.7 0.0 27.3 -2.45 37.7 38.7
Dallas Pierce Dallas Pierce G 25 8.1 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.8 0.8 -58 21 -2.8 -17.7 34.1 33.3 62.5 -4.58 43.1 40.9
Alexis Rosenfeld Alexis Rosenfeld G 15 4.5 0.8 1.5 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.7 -7 13 -0.5 -6.3 60.0 0 0 -1.84 60.0 60.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1862 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Schiro19% Schiro23% Yergey19% Hadley22% Hadley33% Wedemeyer31% Melious31% Melious39% Schiro31% Melious40%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Tucker20% Schiro16% Hadley18% Schiro27% Hadley21% Melious22% Melious29% Melious21% Melious34% Melious32%
Misses: who misses most here

Francesca SchiroNicole MeliousK. TuckerCaydence HadleyGenevive WedemeyerAlden Yergey

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 305-555 55.0 610 Francesca Schiro 19% (116 pts) K. Tucker 19% (114 pts) K. Tucker 20% (51 misses) Francesca Schiro 17% (43 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 143-364 39.3 286 Francesca Schiro 23% (66 pts) K. Tucker 18% (52 pts) Francesca Schiro 16% (36 misses) Caydence Hadley 14% (32 misses)
Mid-range left 36-118 30.5 72 Alden Yergey 19% (14 pts) Caydence Hadley 19% (14 pts) Caydence Hadley 18% (15 misses) K. Tucker 15% (12 misses)
Mid-range center 18-48 37.5 36 Caydence Hadley 22% (8 pts) Alden Yergey 17% (6 pts) Francesca Schiro 27% (8 misses) Nicole Melious 20% (6 misses)
Mid-range right 43-143 30.1 86 Caydence Hadley 33% (28 pts) Alden Yergey 19% (16 pts) Caydence Hadley 21% (21 misses) Genevive Wedemeyer 16% (16 misses)
Left corner 3 16-65 24.6 48 Genevive Wedemeyer 31% (15 pts) Nicole Melious 31% (15 pts) Nicole Melious 22% (11 misses) Alden Yergey 20% (10 misses)
Right corner 3 13-44 29.5 39 Nicole Melious 31% (12 pts) Francesca Schiro 23% (9 pts) Nicole Melious 29% (9 misses) Francesca Schiro 19% (6 misses)
Above-break 3 left 59-221 26.7 177 Nicole Melious 39% (69 pts) Francesca Schiro 20% (36 pts) Nicole Melious 21% (34 misses) Francesca Schiro 16% (26 misses)
Above-break 3 center 26-103 25.2 78 Francesca Schiro 31% (24 pts) Nicole Melious 15% (12 pts) Nicole Melious 34% (26 misses) J. Turner 16% (12 misses)
Above-break 3 right 47-201 23.4 141 Nicole Melious 40% (57 pts) Francesca Schiro 15% (21 pts) Nicole Melious 32% (50 misses) Francesca Schiro 14% (21 misses)