Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Marist Red Foxes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | -5.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.9% | 49.1% | -0.4 | ✗ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marist Red Foxes +3 (75-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francesca Schiro * | 40 | 10-23 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 13 | - |
| Nicole Melious * | 39 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Alden Yergey * | 39 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Tucker * | 26 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Caydence Hadley * | 25 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Garrisen Freeman | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Dallas Pierce | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Olivia Watkins | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamariah Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Tarul * | 35 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jackie Piddock * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Danielle Williamsen * | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Justine Henry * | 31 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Ciara Croker * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Karly Fischer | 24 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Chloe Escanillas | 12 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Julia Corsentino | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
* = starter