Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Canisius Golden Griffins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.8% | 28.2% | -13.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.1% | 35.9% | -6.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 92.9% | 7.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 80.0% | 20.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.8% | 36.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Canisius Golden Griffins -17 (56-73). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Melious * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 5 | - |
| Francesca Schiro * | 31 | 6-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Genevive Wedemeyer * | 25 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Garrisen Freeman * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Tucker * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Valencia Fontenelle-Posson | 24 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Caydence Hadley | 19 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jamariah Turner | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Alexis Rosenfeld | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Alden Yergey | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corniya Clay * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Yasmine Djibril * | 33 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Irene Rey Pineda * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Franka Wittenberg * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Shariah Gailes * | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Mary Copple | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Kelsey Bess | 11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Molly Mescall | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Ileana Feliz | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Evie Van Der Woude | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antionique Auston | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Saige Randolph | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter