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2025-11-19

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints UAlbany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - ✓
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 ✓ (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - ✓
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 8.3% 91.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 27.6% 72.4% - ✓

Actual: UAlbany Great Danes +25 (67-42). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Genevive Wedemeyer 27 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 2 0 0 2 1 -1 -21.0
Francesca Schiro 26 4-13 0-4 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 8 -2 -7.8
Nicole Melious 24 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -3 -11.7
K. Tucker 24 3-8 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 6 5 -11.6
J. Turner 19 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 5 -3 -15.3
Zyriah Price 19 2-7 1-1 0-0 9 1 0 2 3 5 7 -21.9
Garrisen Freeman 16 0-0 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 0 2 4 -2.3
Caydence Hadley 16 2-5 0-1 4-6 0 0 0 0 0 8 3 +2.3
Valencia Fontenelle-Posson 15 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 3 0 0 4 2 +0.5
Dallas Pierce 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1.2
Azera Gates 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -0.6
Olivia Watkins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.4

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lara Langermann 31 5-6 3-3 1-2 1 4 0 0 2 14 11 +18.8
Delanie Hill 30 3-5 0-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 3 10 10 +21.0
J. Palomo Vicente 27 2-6 2-6 0-0 0 3 3 0 0 6 6 +15.9
Martina Borrellas 26 6-9 2-3 1-2 10 2 0 0 7 15 11 +20.8
G. Falcão 24 0-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 1 0 6 +6.9
Amaya Stewart 20 6-9 0-0 5-6 5 1 1 1 2 17 14 +12.8
Anais Levasseur 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -11.1
Bella Stuart 13 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 3 5 +10.9
Emma Zuccon 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -9.1
E. Hákonardóttir 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -3.1
Laura Vera 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.3

* = starter