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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Siena Saints Iona Gaels Spread Result
Elo 39.0% 61.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Margin 41.3% 58.7% +1.9 โœ“ (7.1 off)
Pythagorean 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 34.8% 65.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“

Actual: Iona Gaels +9 (59-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Genevive Wedemeyer 31 2-7 0-3 5-5 6 2 0 1 4 9 7 -
K. Tucker 31 4-11 0-0 1-2 14 2 0 2 2 9 14 -
Nicole Melious 30 4-9 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
Valencia Fontenelle-Posson 26 3-11 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 3 8 0 -
Caydence Hadley 26 1-8 0-0 3-4 5 3 0 1 3 5 3 -
Alden Yergey 19 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 3 0 1 4 3 -
Olivia Watkins 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 2 2 -
Azera Gates 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 2 1 -
Dallas Pierce 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Turner 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
Garrisen Freeman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Iona Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zoey Ward 40 3-13 0-3 2-4 12 1 0 1 1 8 8 -
Ella Fajardo 32 3-9 0-2 5-5 2 3 1 0 2 11 6 -
Mya Zaccagnini 31 5-9 1-4 3-4 1 3 0 0 3 14 6 -
Isabellah Middleton 31 3-9 0-1 2-2 6 0 6 0 1 8 10 -
Naomi Barnwell 29 4-7 1-1 2-4 6 3 1 0 1 11 13 -
Adrianna Gonzalez 20 2-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
Claudia Fiel 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Ale Civera 6 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
Johanna Flores 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter