Model Predictions
| Model | Marist Red Foxes | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | +10.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +5.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Siena Saints +10 (67-57). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Marist Red Foxes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lexie Tarul * | 37 | 7-17 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| Justine Henry * | 34 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Jackie Piddock * | 34 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Ciara Croker * | 27 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kasey Bretones * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Julia Corsentino | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Chloe Escanillas | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kate Robbins | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Karly Fischer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Melious * | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Alden Yergey * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Genevive Wedemeyer * | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Caydence Hadley * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Tucker * | 19 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | +9.1 |
| Olivia Watkins | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Valencia Fontenelle-Posson | 19 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Dallas Pierce | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Azera Gates | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | +10.0 |
* = starter