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Portland Trail Blazers

Also known as: Portland Trail Blazers
Program History

2009 Team Stats (65 games)

98.6
PPG
94.8
Opp
+3.8
Margin
46.1%
FG%
38.3%
3P%
76.0%
FT%
41.4
RPG
19.6
APG
12.0
TO
89.0
Est. poss./game
96.8
Adj PPG
92.4
Adj Opp PPG
#6
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2008-2009
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1201 (#3) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1108 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +105 elo More โ†’ 1084 (#5) HCA +105 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.4 More โ†’ +4.4 (#6) HCA +3.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.8 More โ†’ +7.1 (#4) HCA +3.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.634 (#5) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +5.1 More โ†’ 0.634 (#5) NetEff +5.1
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.5 More โ†’ 0.626 (#5) AdjNet +4.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More โ†’ 0.627 (#5) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 92.4 More โ†’ 0.598 (#6) AdjO 96.8 | AdjD 92.4
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 97.5 | AdjD 91.5 More โ†’ 0.632 (#4) AdjO 97.5 | AdjD 91.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.662 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.668 (#4) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 190 | GP 84 More โ†’ 1106 (#7) RD 190 | GP 84

2009 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2008-10-28 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 76 - 96
2008-10-31 vs San Antonio Spurs W 100 - 99
2008-11-01 @ Phoenix Suns L 96 - 107
2008-11-05 @ Utah Jazz L 96 - 103
2008-11-06 vs Houston Rockets W 101 - 99
2008-11-08 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 97 - 93
2008-11-10 @ Orlando Magic W 106 - 99
2008-11-12 @ Miami Heat W 104 - 96
2008-11-14 @ New Orleans Pelicans L 82 - 87
2008-11-15 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 88 - 83
2008-11-18 @ Golden State Warriors L 106 - 111
2008-11-19 vs Chicago Bulls - Incomplete score
2008-11-21 @ Sacramento Kings W 117 - 96
2008-11-22 @ Phoenix Suns L 92 - 102
2008-11-24 vs Sacramento Kings W 91 - 90
2008-11-26 vs Miami Heat - Incomplete score
2008-11-28 vs New Orleans Pelicans W 101 - 86
2008-12-02 @ New York Knicks W 104 - 97
2008-12-03 @ Washington Wizards W 98 - 92
2008-12-05 @ Boston Celtics L 78 - 93
2008-12-07 @ Toronto Raptors W 98 - 97
2008-12-09 vs Orlando Magic L 108 - 109
2008-12-11 @ Utah Jazz L 88 - 97
2008-12-12 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2008-12-16 vs Sacramento Kings W 109 - 77
2008-12-18 vs Phoenix Suns W 124 - 119
2008-12-22 @ Denver Nuggets L 89 - 97
2008-12-23 vs Denver Nuggets - Incomplete score
2008-12-25 vs Dallas Mavericks L 94 - 102
2008-12-27 vs Toronto Raptors W 102 - 89
2009-01-02 vs New Orleans Pelicans L 77 - 92
2009-01-04 @ Los Angeles Lakers L 86 - 100
2009-01-07 vs Detroit Pistons - Incomplete score
2009-01-10 vs Golden State Warriors - Incomplete score
2009-01-12 @ Chicago Bulls W 109 - 95
2009-01-14 @ Philadelphia 76ers L 79 - 100
2009-01-15 @ Brooklyn Nets W 105 - 99
2009-01-17 @ Charlotte Hornets L 97 - 102
2009-01-19 vs Milwaukee Bucks W 102 - 85
2009-01-21 vs Cleveland Cavaliers L 98 - 104
2009-01-24 vs Washington Wizards - Incomplete score
2009-01-26 @ LA Clippers W 113 - 88
2009-01-28 vs Charlotte Hornets - Incomplete score
2009-01-31 vs Utah Jazz W 122 - 108
2009-02-02 @ New Orleans Pelicans W 97 - 89
2009-02-04 @ Dallas Mavericks L 99 - 104
2009-02-06 @ Oklahoma City Thunder L 93 - 102
2009-02-08 vs New York Knicks - Incomplete score
2009-02-11 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 106 - 92
2009-02-12 @ Golden State Warriors L 98 - 105
2009-02-18 vs Memphis Grizzlies - Incomplete score
2009-02-20 vs Atlanta Hawks W 108 - 98
2009-02-22 vs LA Clippers - Incomplete score
2009-02-24 @ Houston Rockets L 94 - 98
2009-02-25 @ San Antonio Spurs L 84 - 99
2009-02-27 @ Minnesota Timberwolves W 102 - 82
2009-03-01 vs San Antonio Spurs W 102 - 84
2009-03-04 vs Indiana Pacers W 107 - 105
2009-03-05 @ Denver Nuggets L 90 - 106
2009-03-07 vs Minnesota Timberwolves W 95 - 93
2009-03-09 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 111 - 94
2009-03-11 vs Dallas Mavericks - Incomplete score
2009-03-15 @ Atlanta Hawks L 80 - 98
2009-03-16 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 103 - 92
2009-03-18 @ Indiana Pacers W 95 - 85
2009-03-21 @ Milwaukee Bucks W 96 - 84
2009-03-23 vs Philadelphia 76ers L 108 - 114
2009-03-26 vs Phoenix Suns - Incomplete score
2009-03-28 vs Memphis Grizzlies W 86 - 66
2009-03-31 vs Utah Jazz W 125 - 104
2009-04-03 @ Oklahoma City Thunder W 107 - 72
2009-04-05 @ Houston Rockets L 88 - 102
2009-04-07 @ Memphis Grizzlies W 96 - 93
2009-04-08 @ San Antonio Spurs W 95 - 83
2009-04-10 vs Los Angeles Lakers W 106 - 98
2009-04-11 @ LA Clippers W 87 - 72
2009-04-13 vs Oklahoma City Thunder W 113 - 83
2009-04-15 vs Denver Nuggets W 104 - 76
2009-04-18 vs Houston Rockets L 81 - 108
2009-04-21 vs Houston Rockets W 107 - 103
2009-04-24 @ Houston Rockets L 83 - 86
2009-04-26 @ Houston Rockets L 88 - 89
2009-04-28 vs Houston Rockets W 88 - 77
2009-04-30 @ Houston Rockets L 76 - 92

2009 Roster

Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Brandon Roy G 63 37.1 22.8 4.7 4.9 1.0 0.3 2.1 17.0 14.6 - - - - 48.1 39.0 81.3 - 57.3 51.4
LaMarcus Aldridge LaMarcus Aldridge G 65 36.9 17.3 7.4 2.0 1.0 0.9 1.6 15.1 11.8 - - - - 47.3 28.0 76.5 - 51.6 47.6
Travis Outlaw G 65 27.6 12.6 4.2 1.0 0.6 0.7 1.2 10.4 7.6 - - - - 45.4 38.9 68.9 - 53.9 50.7
Rudy Fernandez G 63 25.7 10.8 2.7 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.0 8.2 7.2 - - - - 42.9 40.3 86.4 - 59.9 55.8
Steve Blake Steve Blake G 55 31.1 10.7 2.5 4.7 1.0 0.1 1.4 9.3 8.4 - - - - 42.0 41.6 86.9 - 54.8 52.5
Greg Oden G 48 20.6 8.4 6.3 0.4 0.3 1.0 1.4 5.6 9.5 - - - - 56.6 0 62.5 - 59.6 56.6
Joel Przybilla G 65 23.9 5.5 9.1 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.0 3.4 12.0 - - - - 61.4 0.0 66.4 - 64.2 61.4
Nicolas Batum Nicolas Batum G 63 18.0 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.6 4.3 4.3 - - - - 42.3 36.4 80.6 - 53.3 51.1
Jerryd Bayless G 39 13.0 4.7 1.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 1.0 3.8 2.9 - - - - 38.9 15.8 78.3 - 49.6 39.9
Sergio Rodriguez G 63 14.9 4.4 1.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 1.4 4.1 4.5 - - - - 39.5 31.8 83.3 - 49.1 44.9
Channing Frye G 50 11.4 3.9 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.5 4.1 2.4 - - - - 41.4 29.2 70.0 - 45.3 43.1
Shavlik Randolph G 8 3.5 1.1 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.4 - - - - 80.0 0 50.0 - 76.5 80.0
Ike Diogu G 16 3.6 1.0 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.9 - - - - 15.4 0 75.0 - 39.9 15.4
Michael Ruffin - 9 3.3 0.7 0.8 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.1 - - - - 40.0 0 100.0 - 51.0 40.0
Martell Webster F 1 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 -1.0 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG