Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +3.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +11 (88-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Battier * | 41 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 39 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Metta World Peace * | 39 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Aaron Brooks * | 34 | 6-20 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | -3 | - |
| Luis Scola * | 32 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Von Wafer * | 15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Kyle Lowry * | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Carl Landry * | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Hayes * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| James White | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brian Cook | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 11-20 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 39 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 38 | 9-20 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 35 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 26 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter