Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.3% | 44.7% | -1.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers -6 (98-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 42 | 14-30 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 24 | - |
| Mo Williams * | 41 | 12-19 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 17 | - |
| Anderson Varejao * | 38 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Sasha Pavlovic * | 30 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ben Wallace * | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Wally Szczerbiak * | 23 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| JJ Hickson * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Daniel Gibson * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Darnell Jackson * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tarence Kinsey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 41 | 8-20 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 37 | 8-23 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 5 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 25 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 23 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 17 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 20 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
* = starter