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2008-11-28

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Portland Trail Blazers Spread Result
Elo 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 โœ“ (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 27.9% 72.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 30.3% 69.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% - โœ“

Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +15 (101-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Paul * 37 7-14 1-3 1-2 6 6 1 0 5 16 10 -
David West * 32 5-15 0-1 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 10 0 -
Peja Stojakovic * 31 8-14 3-5 2-2 3 1 2 0 0 21 13 -
Tyson Chandler * 30 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 5 8 -
James Posey * 26 4-7 1-2 1-1 5 0 1 1 2 10 8 -
Rasual Butler * 25 2-5 2-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Devin Brown * 21 1-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 -2 -
Hilton Armstrong * 17 3-6 0-1 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 8 6 -
Julian Wright * 8 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 2 0 0 0 5 5 -
Sean Marks * 7 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -

Portland Trail Blazers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Roy * 37 11-16 1-3 2-2 6 10 0 1 2 25 24 -
LaMarcus Aldridge * 29 8-13 0-1 1-2 7 1 0 1 1 17 12 -
Steve Blake * 28 5-9 2-4 2-2 0 3 2 0 1 14 9 -
Rudy Fernandez * 25 3-9 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 2 10 3 -
Greg Oden * 23 0-2 0-0 1-4 8 3 0 1 1 1 10 -
Joel Przybilla * 23 1-1 0-0 5-5 6 1 0 1 2 7 12 -
Travis Outlaw * 21 1-5 0-2 3-4 3 1 0 1 2 5 3 -
Nicolas Batum * 20 5-8 2-5 0-0 3 2 1 2 0 12 12 -
Sergio Rodriguez * 17 1-2 1-1 2-2 2 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
Channing Frye * 11 2-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
Ike Diogu 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jerryd Bayless 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter