Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.4% | 83.6% | +8.9 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +2 (107-105). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquis Daniels * | 43 | 11-19 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| Jarrett Jack * | 39 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - |
| T.J. Ford * | 38 | 11-22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Troy Murphy * | 38 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Foster * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Rush * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Rasho Nesterovic * | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Roy Hibbert * | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Travis Diener * | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Maceo Baston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Roy * | 42 | 10-19 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 28 | 16 | - |
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 33 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 29 | 2-9 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerryd Bayless | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
* = starter