Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✗ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -12 (83-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 38 | 9-19 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 11 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 35 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 25 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Greg Oden * | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 39 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 33 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 32 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tim Duncan * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 20 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Drew Gooden * | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| George Hill * | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Marcus Williams | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Jacque Vaughn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter