Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.8% | 57.2% | +1.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +15 (99-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMarcus Aldridge * | 39 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Roy * | 39 | 5-18 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Travis Outlaw * | 30 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Rudy Fernandez * | 24 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Channing Frye * | 24 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Steve Blake * | 23 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8 | - |
| Joel Przybilla * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Sergio Rodriguez * | 19 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Nicolas Batum * | 15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Finley * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 17-27 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 25 | - |
| Kurt Thomas * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Matt Bonner * | 29 | 6-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Roger Mason Jr. * | 27 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Fabricio Oberto * | 25 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 23 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| George Hill * | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Ime Udoka * | 13 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Malik Hairston | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Pops Mensah-Bonsu | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter